Northern Illinois Huskies vs Dayton Flyers prediction, odds and picks, November 7, 2026
- Projected winnerDayton 90%
- Projected scoreDayton 82, Northern Illinois 66
- Model spreadDayton −15.5 total 148
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Northern Illinois Huskies or Dayton Flyers: the bandwagon
Axle 10–90Market –
Northern Illinois Huskies at Dayton Flyers win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Northern Illinois Huskies vs Dayton Flyers live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Northern Illinois Huskies vs Dayton Flyers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | NIU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NIU– | DAY– |
| Average win probability | NIU– | DAY– |
| Longest scoring run | NIU– | DAY– |
| Time leading | NIU– | DAY– |
Northern Illinois Huskies vs Dayton Flyers odds
Every stored line
| Stored | DAY win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:48 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 90% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:25 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 89% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 93% | +28 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- DAY 1616 · NIU 1353
- Home spread
- −15.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET · 2026-11-05 02:05 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Northern Illinois Huskies vs Dayton Flyers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Flyers a 15.5-point favorite at home, with a 90% chance to win. The model total is 148. Ratings: Flyers 1616 (37th of 361), Huskies 1353 (350th). The Flyers are 1-0; the Huskies are 0-1. The Flyers have won 3 of their last 5; the Huskies 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Northern Illinois Huskies
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Northern Illinois Huskies | W 89–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Akron Zips | L 55–94 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kent State Golden Flashes | L 76–102 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ball State Cardinals | L 43–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Toledo Rockets | L 69–79 | – | – | matchup |
Dayton Flyers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs NJIT Highlanders | W 89–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Illinois State Redbirds | L 55–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UNC Wilmington Seahawks | W 80–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Bradley Braves | W 80–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| at VCU Rams | L 62–70 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Northern Illinois Huskies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Dayton Flyers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Huskies0-1 8th · L1
- Huskies rating1353 350th of 361, 1 games
- Flyers1-0 2nd · W1
- Flyers rating1616 37th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $NIUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Northern Illinois Huskies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Dayton Flyers 1-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $DAYMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Dayton Flyers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: Dayton 90% to win. Projected score Dayton 82, Northern Illinois 66; spread Dayton −15.5, total 148. Northern Illinois Huskies at Dayton Flyers, Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET.