NJIT Highlanders vs Dayton Flyers: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreNJIT 58, Dayton 89 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerDayton 85%
- Pregame Projected scoreDayton 79, NJIT 66
- Model spreadDayton −12.5 total 145.5
- Margin31 projected 12.7
- Total147 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
NJIT Highlanders or Dayton Flyers: the bandwagon
Axle 15–85Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| NJIT | 23 | 35 | 58 |
| DAY | 47 | 42 | 89 |
NJIT Highlanders at Dayton Flyers win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
NJIT Highlanders vs Dayton Flyers live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | NJIT | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | NJIT20/58 | DAY31/65 |
| 3-pointers | NJIT3/25 | DAY9/26 |
| Free throws | NJIT15/25 | DAY18/21 |
| Rebounds | NJIT28 | DAY50 |
| Assists | NJIT9 | DAY19 |
| Turnovers | NJIT11 | DAY12 |
| Steals | NJIT8 | DAY7 |
| Blocks | NJIT2 | DAY3 |
| Points in the paint | NJIT24 | DAY44 |
| Fast-break points | NJIT6 | DAY22 |
| Fouls | NJIT17 | DAY23 |
| Largest lead | NJIT0 | DAY33 |
NJIT Highlanders vs Dayton Flyers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | NJIT | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NJIT58 | DAY89 |
| Average win probability | NJIT3% | DAY97% |
| Longest scoring run | NJIT+7 | DAY+14 |
| Time leading | NJIT0:00 | DAY38:33 |
NJIT Highlanders vs Dayton Flyers odds
Every stored line
| Stored | DAY win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 85% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 89% | +24 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- DAY 1608 · NJIT 1420
- Home spread
- −12.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:06 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: NJIT Highlanders 58, Dayton Flyers 89. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
NJIT Highlanders vs Dayton Flyers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Flyers a 12.5-point favorite at home, with a 85% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Flyers 1616 (37th of 361), Highlanders 1412 (305th). The Flyers are 1-0; the Highlanders are 0-1. The Flyers have won 3 of their last 5; the Highlanders 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
NJIT Highlanders
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Dayton Flyers | L 58–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Vermont Catamounts | L 54–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Maine Black Bears | W 60–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UMBC Retrievers | L 52–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Bryant Bulldogs | L 52–69 | – | – | matchup |
Dayton Flyers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs NJIT Highlanders | W 89–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Illinois State Redbirds | L 55–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UNC Wilmington Seahawks | W 80–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Bradley Braves | W 80–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| at VCU Rams | L 62–70 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
NJIT Highlanders: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Dayton Flyers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Highlanders0-1 7th · L1
- Highlanders rating1412 305th of 361, 1 games
- Flyers1-0 2nd · W1
- Flyers rating1616 37th of 361, 1 games
NJIT Highlanders 0-1
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $NJITMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the NJIT Highlanders bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Dayton Flyers 1-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $DAYMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Dayton Flyers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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