NBAPHI 53 DET 42· 1:05 - 2ndCBBFDU 45 BTLR 64· 13:51 - 2ndCBBLONG 33 JOES 46· 15:58 - 2ndWCBBDETM 39 ILL 52· 4:11 - 3rdWCBBLAS 28 RUTG 40· 4:58 - 3rdCFBBALL 7 MASS 7· 1:49 - 2ndCFBTOL 7 SAC 10· 0:38 - 2ndWCBBNOLA 33 ALA 85· 0:42 - 3rdNBAATL 68 WSH 61· 11:05 - 3rdCBBUMES 25 HPU 38· 12:17 - 2ndNBACHI 32 NY 55· 8:00 - 2ndWCBBUTC 23 WKU 28· HalftimeNBACHA 27 BKN 25· 10:05 - 2ndNBAMIL 27 BOS 44· 6:10 - 2ndCFBCMU 7 EMU 0· 11:09 - 2ndNHLCHI 0 FLA 2· End of 1stNHLOTT 0 BUF 0· End of 1stCBBCSUN 40 WICH 47· HalftimeNBACLE 9 OKC 20· 5:48 - 1stNBAUTAH 8 NO 14· 5:50 - 1stNBAIND 15 MEM 16· 4:39 - 1stCBBNKU 24 SDAK 18· 11:10 - 1stCBBSELA 14 AUB 18· 11:01 - 1stWCBBFDU 8 TEX 30· End of 1stWCBBSTET 8 LOU 17· 1:54 - 1stWCBBMORG 4 COLO 21· End of 1stWCBBLIU 11 TXST 15· 0:00 - 1stWCBBJKST 13 GCU 18· 0:02 - 1stNBAMIN–HOU8:30 PMNBAPOR–PHX9:00 PMWCBBCBU–ORST9:00 PMNBATOR–DEN9:00 PMCBBRAD–CAL9:00 PMNBADAL–SA9:30 PMCBBNDSU–SMC10:00 PMCBBMILW–SCU10:00 PMNHLCGY–SEA10:00 PMNHLSJ–LA10:00 PMNBALAL–SAC10:00 PMWCBBSMC–STAN10:00 PMAll scores
bandwagon.Newsletter
Axle 2.078% straight up465 games
NCAA Men's Basketball · · UD Arena · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Illinois State Redbirds vs Dayton Flyers: final score and how the prediction did, March 25, 2026

Illinois State Redbirds or Dayton Flyers: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle no line yetMarket –

Final
6155
Record 1-0
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

Illinois State Redbirds at Dayton Flyers win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

Bandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Needs two stored points.
Big swing–Needs two stored points.
Clutch window–Needs two stored points.
Baseline–Needs two stored points.

Illinois State Redbirds vs Dayton Flyers live stats

From the league's public game summary

No box score stored for this game.

Illinois State Redbirds vs Dayton Flyers team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatILSTDAY
ScoreILST61DAY55
Average win probabilityILST–DAY–
Longest scoring runILST–DAY–
Time leadingILST–DAY–

Illinois State Redbirds vs Dayton Flyers odds

Bandwagon model
Spread—
Total—
Moneyline—

No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

RedbirdsFlyers
Neutrals only–
RedbirdsFlyers
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Flyers–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Illinois State Redbirds vs Dayton Flyers prediction

Ratings: Flyers 1616 (37th of 361), Redbirds 1555 (84th). The Flyers are 1-0; the Redbirds are 0-1. The Flyers have won 3 of their last 5; the Redbirds 3 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Illinois State Redbirds

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Saint Mary's GaelsL 85–90––matchup
at Auburn TigersL 66–88––matchup
at Dayton FlyersW 61–55––matchup
at Wake Forest Demon DeaconsW 78–75––matchup
vs Kent State Golden FlashesW 79–58––matchup

Dayton Flyers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs NJIT HighlandersW 89–58––matchup
vs Illinois State RedbirdsL 55–61––matchup
at UNC Wilmington SeahawksW 80–61––matchup
at Bradley BravesW 80–66––matchup
at VCU RamsL 62–70––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Illinois State Redbirds: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Dayton Flyers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Redbirds0-1 9th · L1
  • Redbirds rating1555 84th of 361, 1 games
  • Flyers1-0 2nd · W1
  • Flyers rating1616 37th of 361, 1 games

Illinois State Redbirds 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak L1

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ILSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ILSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ILSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $ILSTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Illinois State Redbirds bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Redbirds roster, schedule and more

Dayton Flyers 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak W1

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $DAYMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $DAYMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $DAYMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $DAYMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Dayton Flyers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Flyers roster, schedule and more

Takes on Illinois State Redbirds at Dayton Flyers

Sign in to post a take on $ILSTMBBDAYMBB260325: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.