Grambling Tigers lead Northern Illinois Huskies 5-3 with 17:40 left in the 1st quarter, a two-point margin for the home side. The model gives Grambling a 62% chance, and no crowd picks are in yet.
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Fredrick C. Hobdy Assembly Center · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line
Northern Illinois Huskies vs Grambling Tigers: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreNorthern Illinois 87, Grambling 89 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerGrambling 62%
- Pregame Projected scoreGrambling 75, Northern Illinois 71
- Model spreadGrambling −4.5 total 145.5
- Margin2 projected 4.5
- Total176 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Northern Illinois Huskies or Grambling Tigers: the bandwagon
Axle 38–62Market –
FinalPregame: GRAM 62%Baseline: GRAM 81.6% (+20.1)Big swing: 13.9 ptsClutch window: 11:55
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIU | 36 | 51 | 87 |
| GRAM | 43 | 46 | 89 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Northern Illinois Huskies at Grambling Tigers win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to GRAM+8.7 points for GRAM over the last 5:00
Big swing13.9 ptstoward NIU at 7:30 of game time
Clutch window11:55within 5 points in the final half
BaselineGRAM 81.6%game average, +20.1 points from the pregame 61.5%
Northern Illinois Huskies vs Grambling Tigers live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | NIU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | NIU28/60 | GRAM32/50 |
| 3-pointers | NIU14/31 | GRAM5/13 |
| Free throws | NIU17/22 | GRAM20/29 |
| Rebounds | NIU27 | GRAM28 |
| Assists | NIU16 | GRAM15 |
| Turnovers | NIU8 | GRAM9 |
| Steals | NIU7 | GRAM4 |
| Blocks | NIU2 | GRAM4 |
| Points in the paint | NIU28 | GRAM48 |
| Fast-break points | NIU9 | GRAM10 |
| Fouls | NIU20 | GRAM20 |
| Largest lead | NIU0 | GRAM12 |
Northern Illinois Huskies vs Grambling Tigers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | NIU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NIU87 | GRAM89 |
| Average win probability | NIU18% | GRAM82% |
| Longest scoring run | NIU+7 | GRAM+8 |
| Time leading | NIU0:00 | GRAM35:36 |
Northern Illinois Huskies vs Grambling Tigers odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET
Huskies38%
Win chanceTigers62%
SpreadGRAM −4.5closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+160away / −160homeaway / home
Line movementGRAM win chance, 10 stored lines
+12 pts for GRAM between Oct 29 and Nov 2
67%29%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | GRAM win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 AM ET | 62% | +1 |
| Nov 1, 7:01 PM ET | 61% | +16 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 45% | +11 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 34% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 34% | −16 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 50% | — |
- Ratings
- GRAM 1416 · NIU 1358
- Home spread
- −4.5 · neutral site, no home advantage
- Stored
- Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-02 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Northern Illinois Huskies 87, Grambling Tigers 89. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
HuskiesTigers
Neutrals only–
HuskiesTigers
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Tigers–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Northern Illinois Huskies vs Grambling Tigers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Tigers a 4.5-point favorite, with a 62% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Tigers 1421 (291st of 361), Huskies 1353 (350th). The Tigers are 1-0; the Huskies are 0-1. The Tigers have won 2 of their last 5; the Huskies 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Northern Illinois Huskies
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Northern Illinois Huskies | W 89–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Akron Zips | L 55–94 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kent State Golden Flashes | L 76–102 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ball State Cardinals | L 43–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Toledo Rockets | L 69–79 | – | – | matchup |
Grambling Tigers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Grambling Tigers | L 87–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Jackson State Tigers | L 65–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | W 77–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Alabama State Hornets | W 65–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Alabama A&M Bulldogs | L 63–77 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Northern Illinois Huskies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Grambling Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Huskies0-1 8th · L1
- Huskies rating1353 350th of 361, 1 games
- Tigers1-0 2nd · W1
- Tigers rating1421 291st of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $NIUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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No stances yet today on $NIUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Northern Illinois Huskies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Grambling Tigers 1-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $GRAMMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $GRAMMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $GRAMMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $GRAMMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Grambling Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Northern Illinois Huskies at Grambling Tigers
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Final: Northern Illinois 87, Grambling 89. Bandwagon's model had the Grambling at 62% and projected Grambling 75, Northern Illinois 71; spread Grambling −4.5, total 145.5.