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Axle 2.078% straight up509 games
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Moody Coliseum · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Lamar Cardinals vs Abilene Christian Wildcats prediction, odds and picks, November 7, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Lamar Cardinals or Abilene Christian Wildcats: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 36–64Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: ACU 64%
Record 1-0
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Game clock
KickoffSaturday, November 7 at 2:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
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Lamar Cardinals at Abilene Christian Wildcats win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Lamar Cardinals vs Abilene Christian Wildcats live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Lamar Cardinals vs Abilene Christian Wildcats team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatLAMACU
ScoreLAM–ACU–
Average win probabilityLAM–ACU–
Longest scoring runLAM–ACU–
Time leadingLAM–ACU–

Lamar Cardinals vs Abilene Christian Wildcats odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 5:04 AM ET
Cardinals36%
Win chance
Wildcats64%
SpreadACU −5
Total145.5
Moneyline+174away / −174homeaway / home
Line movementACU win chance, 32 stored lines
−1 pts for ACU since Oct 29
71%58%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: ACU 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: ACU 66%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: ACU 66%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: ACU 66%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: ACU 65%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: ACU 65%Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET: ACU 65%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: ACU 65%Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET: ACU 65%Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET: ACU 65%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: ACU 65%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: ACU 66%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: ACU 65%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: ACU 66%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: ACU 66%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: ACU 66%Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET: ACU 64%Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET: ACU 64%Nov 3, 12:00 AM ET: ACU 64%Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET: ACU 64%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: ACU 64%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: ACU 64%Nov 3, 9:48 PM ET: ACU 64%Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET: ACU 64%Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET: ACU 64%Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET: ACU 64%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: ACU 64%Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET: ACU 64%Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET: ACU 64%Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET: ACU 64%Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET: ACU 64%Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET: ACU 64%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredACU winMove
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET64%0
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET64%0
Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET64%0
Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET64%0
Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET64%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET64%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET64%0
Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET64%0
Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET64%0
Nov 3, 9:48 PM ET64%0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET64%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET64%0
Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET64%0
Nov 3, 12:00 AM ET64%0
Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET64%0
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET64%−2
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET66%+1
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET65%−1
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET66%+1
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET65%0
Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET65%0
Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET65%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET65%0
Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET65%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET65%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET65%−1
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET66%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET66%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET66%+1
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
ACU 1427 · LAM 1442
Home spread
−5
Stored
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET · 2026-11-05 10:04 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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CardinalsWildcats
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Wildcats–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Lamar Cardinals vs Abilene Christian Wildcats prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Wildcats a 5-point favorite at home, with a 64% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Wildcats 1427 (282nd of 361), Cardinals 1442 (265th). The Wildcats are 0-1; the Cardinals are 1-0. The Wildcats have won 1 of their last 5; the Cardinals 0 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Lamar Cardinals

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Houston Christian HuskiesL 53–75––matchup
at Incarnate Word CardinalsL 60–72––matchup
vs Nicholls ColonelsL 52–53––matchup
vs LSU New Orleans PrivateersL 71–77––matchup
at UT Rio Grande Valley VaquerosL 65–70––matchup

Abilene Christian Wildcats

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Colorado BuffaloesL 59–94––matchup
at Utah Tech TrailblazersL 74–80––matchup
vs Tarleton State TexansW 84–78––matchup
vs UT Arlington MavericksL 57–64––matchup
at California Baptist LancersL 48–87––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Lamar Cardinals: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Abilene Christian Wildcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Cardinals1-0 3rd · W1
  • Cardinals rating1442 265th of 361, 0 games
  • Wildcats0-1 7th · L1
  • Wildcats rating1427 282nd of 361, 1 games

Lamar Cardinals 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $LAMMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $LAMMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $LAMMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $LAMMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Lamar Cardinals bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Cardinals roster, schedule and more

Abilene Christian Wildcats 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ACUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ACUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ACUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $ACUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Abilene Christian Wildcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Wildcats roster, schedule and more

Takes on Lamar Cardinals at Abilene Christian Wildcats

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Model: Abilene Christian 64% to win. Projected score Abilene Christian 75, Lamar 70; spread Abilene Christian −5, total 145.5. Lamar Cardinals at Abilene Christian Wildcats, Sat, Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET.