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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Corteva Coliseum · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

UT Martin Skyhawks vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars prediction, odds and picks, November 7, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

UT Martin Skyhawks or IU Indianapolis Jaguars: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 51–49Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: IUIN 49%
Record 0-1
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Game clock
KickoffSaturday, November 7 at 5:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
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UT Martin Skyhawks at IU Indianapolis Jaguars win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

UT Martin Skyhawks vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

UT Martin Skyhawks vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatUTMIUIN
ScoreUTM–IUIN–
Average win probabilityUTM–IUIN–
Longest scoring runUTM–IUIN–
Time leadingUTM–IUIN–

UT Martin Skyhawks vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 2 h ago
Skyhawks51%
Win chance
Jaguars49%
SpreadIUIN −1
Total145.5
Moneyline−104away / +104homeaway / home
Line movementIUIN win chance, 40 stored lines
−16 pts for IUIN since Oct 29
71%38%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: IUIN 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: IUIN 44%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: IUIN 44%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: IUIN 44%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: IUIN 49%Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET: IUIN 49%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: IUIN 49%Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET: IUIN 49%Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET: IUIN 49%Nov 2, 5:58 PM ET: IUIN 49%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: IUIN 49%Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET: IUIN 49%Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET: IUIN 49%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: IUIN 49%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: IUIN 48%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: IUIN 48%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: IUIN 48%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: IUIN 48%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: IUIN 48%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: IUIN 48%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: IUIN 48%Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET: IUIN 48%Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET: IUIN 49%Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET: IUIN 49%Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET: IUIN 49%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: IUIN 49%Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET: IUIN 49%Nov 3, 2:23 AM ET: IUIN 49%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: IUIN 49%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: IUIN 49%Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET: IUIN 49%Nov 3, 9:18 PM ET: IUIN 49%Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET: IUIN 49%Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET: IUIN 49%Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET: IUIN 49%Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET: IUIN 49%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: IUIN 49%Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET: IUIN 49%Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET: IUIN 49%Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET: IUIN 49%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredIUIN winMove
Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET49%0
Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET49%0
Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET49%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET49%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET49%0
Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET49%0
Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET49%0
Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET49%0
Nov 3, 9:18 PM ET49%0
Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET49%0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET49%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET49%0
Nov 3, 2:23 AM ET49%0
Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET49%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET49%0
Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET49%0
Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET49%+1
Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET48%−1
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 5:58 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET49%0
Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET49%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET49%+5
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET44%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET44%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET44%−21
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
IUIN 1365 · UTM 1479
Home spread
−1
Stored
Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET · 2026-11-05 03:16 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

SkyhawksJaguars
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Jaguars–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

UT Martin Skyhawks vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars prediction

Bandwagon's model has this one even: 49% for the Jaguars. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Jaguars 1365 (345th of 361), Skyhawks 1479 (214th). The Jaguars are 1-0; the Skyhawks are 0-1. The Jaguars have won 0 of their last 5; the Skyhawks 2 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

UT Martin Skyhawks

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Tulane Green WaveL 98–100––matchup
at Tennessee State TigersL 55–68––matchup
vs Eastern Illinois PanthersW 66–63––matchup
vs Tennessee State TigersL 42–67––matchup
vs Tennessee Tech Golden EaglesW 64–49––matchup

IU Indianapolis Jaguars

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Cleveland State VikingsL 93–101––matchup
vs Purdue Fort Wayne MastodonsL 81–87––matchup
vs Oakland Golden GrizzliesL 74–86––matchup
at Wright State RaidersL 73–85––matchup
at Purdue Fort Wayne MastodonsL 78–83––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

UT Martin Skyhawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

IU Indianapolis Jaguars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Skyhawks0-1 8th · L1
  • Skyhawks rating1479 214th of 361, 1 games
  • Jaguars1-0 2nd · W1
  • Jaguars rating1365 345th of 361, 0 games

UT Martin Skyhawks 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UTMMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UTMMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UTMMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $UTMMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UT Martin Skyhawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Skyhawks roster, schedule and more

IU Indianapolis Jaguars 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $IUINMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $IUINMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $IUINMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $IUINMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the IU Indianapolis Jaguars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Jaguars roster, schedule and more

Takes on UT Martin Skyhawks at IU Indianapolis Jaguars

Sign in to post a take on $UTMMBBIUINMBB261107: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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Model: even. Projected score IU Indianapolis 73, UT Martin 72; spread IU Indianapolis −1, total 145.5. UT Martin Skyhawks at IU Indianapolis Jaguars, Sat, Nov 7, 5:00 PM ET.