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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Avron B. Fogelman Arena in Devlin Fieldhouse · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

UT Martin Skyhawks vs Tulane Green Wave: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

UT Martin Skyhawks or Tulane Green Wave: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 37–63Market –

Final · OTPregame: TULN 63%Baseline: TULN 47.1% (−16.2)Big swing: 88.3 ptsClutch window: 30:00
Record 0-1
98+7100+9
Record 1-0
Score by period
Team12OT2OTT
UTM374311798
TULN3545119100
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

UT Martin Skyhawks at Tulane Green Wave win probability

Bandwagon's model
Last update: 2OTFetched at
Win probability for TULN: 51 points, 63% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:0050:00TULN 100%UTM 0%
Win probability for TULN: 51 points, 63% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:0050:00TULN 100%UTM 0%

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

MomentumSwinging to UTM−85.4 points for TULN over the last 5:00
Big swing88.3 ptstoward UTM at 50:00 of game time
Clutch window30:00within 5 points in the final half
BaselineTULN 47.1%game average, −16.2 points from the pregame 63.2%

UT Martin Skyhawks vs Tulane Green Wave live stats

Team totals read from the league's public game summary
Live team statistics
StatUTMTULN
Field goalsUTM31/66TULN31/66
3-pointersUTM17/38TULN6/18
Free throwsUTM19/31TULN32/46
ReboundsUTM41TULN41
AssistsUTM18TULN9
TurnoversUTM16TULN9
StealsUTM5TULN12
BlocksUTM5TULN2
Points in the paintUTM24TULN40
Fast-break pointsUTM12TULN8
FoulsUTM31TULN21
Largest leadUTM9TULN4

UT Martin Skyhawks vs Tulane Green Wave team breakdown

From the stored in-game series
Team breakdown
StatUTMTULN
ScoreUTM98TULN100
Average win probabilityUTM53%TULN47%
Longest scoring runUTM+3TULN+3
Time leadingUTM5:40TULN8:46

UT Martin Skyhawks vs Tulane Green Wave odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET
Skyhawks37%
Win chance
Green Wave63%
SpreadTULN −5closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+172away / −172homeaway / home
Line movementTULN win chance, 12 stored lines
−2 pts for TULN between Oct 29 and Nov 2
71%57%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: TULN 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: TULN 63%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: TULN 63%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: TULN 63%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: TULN 63%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: TULN 63%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: TULN 63%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: TULN 63%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: TULN 63%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: TULN 63%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: TULN 63%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: TULN 63%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
StoredTULN winMove
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET63%0
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET63%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET63%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET63%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET63%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET63%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET63%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET63%0
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET63%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET63%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET63%−2
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
TULN 1467 · UTM 1483
Home spread
−5
Stored
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET · 2026-11-03 03:17 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Result: UT Martin Skyhawks 98, Tulane Green Wave 100. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

SkyhawksGreen Wave
Neutrals only–
SkyhawksGreen Wave
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Green Wave–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

UT Martin Skyhawks vs Tulane Green Wave prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Green Wave a 5-point favorite at home, with a 63% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Green Wave 1471 (226th of 361), Skyhawks 1479 (214th). The Green Wave are 1-0; the Skyhawks are 0-1. The Green Wave have won 2 of their last 5; the Skyhawks 2 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

UT Martin Skyhawks

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Tulane Green WaveL 98–100––matchup
at Tennessee State TigersL 55–68––matchup
vs Eastern Illinois PanthersW 66–63––matchup
vs Tennessee State TigersL 42–67––matchup
vs Tennessee Tech Golden EaglesW 64–49––matchup

Tulane Green Wave

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs UT Martin SkyhawksW 100–98––matchup
at Charlotte 49ersL 60–74––matchup
at Memphis TigersW 81–69––matchup
vs Memphis TigersL 95–96––matchup
at Temple OwlsL 60–89––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

UT Martin Skyhawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Tulane Green Wave: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Skyhawks0-1 8th · L1
  • Skyhawks rating1479 214th of 361, 1 games
  • Green Wave1-0 9th · W1
  • Green Wave rating1471 226th of 361, 1 games

UT Martin Skyhawks 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak L1

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No stances yet today on $UTMMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UT Martin Skyhawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Skyhawks roster, schedule and more

Tulane Green Wave 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $TULNMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $TULNMBB
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $TULNMBB
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No stances yet today on $TULNMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Tulane Green Wave bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Green Wave roster, schedule and more

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