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NCAA Men's Basketball · · FedExForum · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

VCU Rams vs Memphis Tigers prediction, odds and picks, November 7, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

VCU Rams or Memphis Tigers: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 55–45Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: MEM 45%
Record 1-0
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Record 1-0
Game clock
KickoffSaturday, November 7 at 3:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
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VCU Rams at Memphis Tigers win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

VCU Rams vs Memphis Tigers live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

VCU Rams vs Memphis Tigers team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatVCUMEM
ScoreVCU–MEM–
Average win probabilityVCU–MEM–
Longest scoring runVCU–MEM–
Time leadingVCU–MEM–

VCU Rams vs Memphis Tigers odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 10:16 PM ET
Rams55%
Win chance
Tigers45%
SpreadPK
Total147
Moneyline−124away / +124homeaway / home
Line movementMEM win chance, 37 stored lines
−20 pts for MEM since Oct 29
71%31%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: MEM 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: MEM 37%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: MEM 37%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: MEM 37%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: MEM 43%Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET: MEM 43%Nov 2, 2:05 AM ET: MEM 43%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: MEM 43%Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET: MEM 43%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: MEM 43%Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET: MEM 43%Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET: MEM 43%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: MEM 43%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: MEM 43%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: MEM 43%Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET: MEM 43%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: MEM 45%Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET: MEM 45%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: MEM 45%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: MEM 45%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: MEM 45%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: MEM 45%Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET: MEM 45%Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET: MEM 45%Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET: MEM 45%Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET: MEM 45%Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET: MEM 45%Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET: MEM 45%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: MEM 45%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: MEM 45%Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET: MEM 45%Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET: MEM 45%Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET: MEM 45%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: MEM 45%Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET: MEM 45%Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET: MEM 45%Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET: MEM 45%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredMEM winMove
Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET45%0
Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET45%0
Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET45%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET45%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET45%0
Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET45%0
Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET45%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET45%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET45%0
Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET45%0
Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET45%0
Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET45%0
Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET45%0
Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET45%0
Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET45%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET45%0
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET45%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET45%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET45%0
Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET45%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET45%+2
Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET43%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET43%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET43%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET43%0
Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET43%0
Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET43%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET43%0
Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET43%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET43%0
Nov 2, 2:05 AM ET43%0
Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET43%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET43%+6
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET37%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET37%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET37%−28
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
MEM 1506 · VCU 1649
Home spread
PK
Stored
Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET · 2026-11-05 03:16 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

RamsTigers
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Tigers–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

VCU Rams vs Memphis Tigers prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Rams the favorite, with a 55% chance to win; its spread rounds to even. The model total is 147. Ratings: Tigers 1506 (167th of 361), Rams 1649 (22nd). The Tigers are 1-0; the Rams are 1-0. The Tigers have won 2 of their last 5; the Rams 4 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Tigers won 2, the Rams 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

VCU Rams

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Little Rock TrojansW 82–72––matchup
at Illinois Fighting IlliniL 55–76––matchup
at North Carolina Tar HeelsW 82–78––matchup
vs Dayton FlyersW 70–62––matchup
vs Saint Joseph's HawksW 77–64––matchup

Memphis Tigers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Iowa State CyclonesW 80–76––matchup
vs Tulane Green WaveL 69–81––matchup
at Tulane Green WaveW 96–95––matchup
vs South Florida BullsL 89–96––matchup
at East Carolina PiratesL 68–84––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Memphis Tigers at VCU Rams85–80––matchup
VCU Rams at Memphis Tigers47–62––matchup

Injuries

VCU Rams: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Memphis Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Rams1-0 10th · W1
  • Rams rating1649 22nd of 361, 1 games
  • Tigers1-0 4th · W1
  • Tigers rating1506 167th of 361, 1 games

VCU Rams 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 10th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $VCUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $VCUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $VCUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $VCUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the VCU Rams bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Rams roster, schedule and more

Memphis Tigers 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MEMMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MEMMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MEMMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MEMMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Memphis Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Tigers roster, schedule and more

Takes on VCU Rams at Memphis Tigers

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