Little Rock Trojans vs VCU Rams: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreLittle Rock 72, VCU 82 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerVCU 88%
- Pregame Projected scoreVCU 80, Little Rock 66
- Model spreadVCU −14 total 145.5
- Margin10 projected 14.1
- Total154 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Little Rock Trojans or VCU Rams: the bandwagon
Axle 12–88Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 33 | 39 | 72 |
| VCU | 37 | 45 | 82 |
Little Rock Trojans at VCU Rams win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Little Rock Trojans vs VCU Rams live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | LR | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | LR25/59 | VCU20/52 |
| 3-pointers | LR5/16 | VCU8/25 |
| Free throws | LR17/21 | VCU34/48 |
| Rebounds | LR39 | VCU39 |
| Assists | LR7 | VCU11 |
| Turnovers | LR16 | VCU13 |
| Steals | LR7 | VCU6 |
| Blocks | LR4 | VCU3 |
| Points in the paint | LR32 | VCU24 |
| Fast-break points | LR5 | VCU31 |
| Fouls | LR38 | VCU17 |
| Largest lead | LR2 | VCU15 |
Little Rock Trojans vs VCU Rams team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | LR | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | LR72 | VCU82 |
| Average win probability | LR6% | VCU94% |
| Longest scoring run | LR+5 | VCU+7 |
| Time leading | LR0:00 | VCU17:23 |
Little Rock Trojans vs VCU Rams odds
Every stored line
| Stored | VCU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 88% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 92% | +27 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- VCU 1645 · LR 1421
- Home spread
- −14
- Stored
- Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:31 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Little Rock Trojans 72, VCU Rams 82. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Little Rock Trojans vs VCU Rams prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Rams a 14-point favorite at home, with a 88% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Rams 1649 (22nd of 361), Trojans 1417 (295th). The Rams are 0-0; the Trojans are 0-0. The Rams have won 4 of their last 5; the Trojans 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Little Rock Trojans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at VCU Rams | L 72–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Morehead State Eagles | L 70–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | L 65–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UT Martin Skyhawks | W 67–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Eastern Illinois Panthers | L 72–78 | – | – | matchup |
VCU Rams
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Little Rock Trojans | W 82–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Illinois Fighting Illini | L 55–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Carolina Tar Heels | W 82–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Dayton Flyers | W 70–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Saint Joseph's Hawks | W 77–64 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Little Rock Trojans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
VCU Rams: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Trojans0-0 5th · -
- Trojans rating1417 295th of 361, 1 games
- Rams0-0 14th · -
- Rams rating1649 22nd of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak -
No stances yet today on $LRMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Little Rock Trojans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
VCU Rams 0-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 14th · streak -
No stances yet today on $VCUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the VCU Rams bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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