Memphis Tigers vs Iowa State Cyclones: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreMemphis 80, Iowa State 76 the projected winner lost
- Pregame Projected winnerIowa State 76%
- Pregame Projected scoreIowa State 77, Memphis 68
- Model spreadIowa State −9 total 145.5
- Margin4 projected 8.9
- Total156 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Memphis Tigers or Iowa State Cyclones: the bandwagon
Axle 24–76Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| MEM | 40 | 40 | 80 |
| ISU | 39 | 37 | 76 |
Memphis Tigers at Iowa State Cyclones win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Memphis Tigers vs Iowa State Cyclones live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | MEM | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | MEM23/55 | ISU25/58 |
| 3-pointers | MEM9/20 | ISU4/20 |
| Free throws | MEM25/33 | ISU22/32 |
| Rebounds | MEM38 | ISU36 |
| Assists | MEM11 | ISU13 |
| Turnovers | MEM13 | ISU11 |
| Steals | MEM7 | ISU4 |
| Blocks | MEM4 | ISU4 |
| Points in the paint | MEM26 | ISU38 |
| Fast-break points | MEM14 | ISU5 |
| Fouls | MEM29 | ISU21 |
| Largest lead | MEM7 | ISU5 |
Memphis Tigers vs Iowa State Cyclones team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | MEM | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MEM80 | ISU76 |
| Average win probability | MEM52% | ISU48% |
| Longest scoring run | MEM+2 | ISU+3 |
| Time leading | MEM11:20 | ISU0:00 |
Memphis Tigers vs Iowa State Cyclones odds
Every stored line
| Stored | ISU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:25 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 76% | +26 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 50% | — |
- Ratings
- ISU 1668 · MEM 1492
- Home spread
- −9 · neutral site, no home advantage
- Stored
- Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:31 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Memphis Tigers 80, Iowa State Cyclones 76. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Memphis Tigers vs Iowa State Cyclones prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Cyclones a 9-point favorite, with a 76% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Cyclones 1654 (18th of 361), Tigers 1506 (167th). The Cyclones are 0-1; the Tigers are 1-0. The Cyclones have won 2 of their last 5; the Tigers 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Memphis Tigers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Iowa State Cyclones | W 80–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tulane Green Wave | L 69–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tulane Green Wave | W 96–95 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs South Florida Bulls | L 89–96 | – | – | matchup | |
| at East Carolina Pirates | L 68–84 | – | – | matchup |
Iowa State Cyclones
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Memphis Tigers | L 76–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tennessee Volunteers | L 62–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kentucky Wildcats | W 82–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tennessee State Tigers | W 108–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arizona Wildcats | L 80–82 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Memphis Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Iowa State Cyclones: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Tigers1-0 4th · W1
- Tigers rating1506 167th of 361, 1 games
- Cyclones0-1 15th · L1
- Cyclones rating1654 18th of 361, 1 games
Memphis Tigers 1-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $MEMMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Memphis Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 15th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $ISUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Iowa State Cyclones bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Memphis Tigers at Iowa State Cyclones
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