NCAA Division I men's basketball odds Tuesday, November 3
Win chance, spread and total for every game. Today's NCAA Division I men's basketball predictions · Standings · every league
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
NCAA Division I men's basketball odds Tuesday, November 3
19 games| Game | Kick (ET) | Axle win | Spread | Total | Moneyline (away / home) | Movement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terriers at Volunteers | Volunteers 83% | Volunteers −11.5 | 145.5 | +493 / −493 | no move | Matchup | |
| Eagles at Hokies | Hokies 85% | Hokies −12.5 | 145.5 | +582 / −582 | no move | Matchup | |
| Pirates at Yellow Jackets | Yellow Jackets 62% | Yellow Jackets −4.5 | 145.5 | +161 / −161 | no move | Matchup | |
| Crusaders at Rams | Rams 78% | Rams −9.5 | 145.5 | +347 / −347 | no move | Matchup | |
| Jaspers at Wildcats | Wildcats 85% | Wildcats −12.5 | 145.5 | +559 / −559 | no move | Matchup | |
| Mastodons at Dukes | Dukes 72% | Dukes −7.5 | 145.5 | +254 / −254 | no move | Matchup | |
| Hatters at Gamecocks | Gamecocks 73% | Gamecocks −7.5 | 145.5 | +265 / −265 | no move | Matchup | |
| Seahawks at Eagles | Eagles 66% | Eagles −5.5 | 145.5 | +192 / −192 | no move | Matchup | |
| Dragons at Cavaliers | Cavaliers 83% | Cavaliers −11.5 | 145.5 | +496 / −496 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bearkats at Crimson Tide | Crimson Tide 80% | Crimson Tide −10 | 145.5 | +391 / −391 | no move | Matchup | |
| Hornets at Aggies | Aggies 86% | Aggies −13 | 145.5 | +591 / −591 | no move | Matchup | |
| Vikings at Tigers | Tigers 82% | Tigers −11 | 145.5 | +445 / −445 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bisons at Hawkeyes | Hawkeyes 78% | Hawkeyes −9.5 | 145.5 | +353 / −353 | no move | Matchup | |
| Privateers at Tigers | Tigers 68% | Tigers −6 | 145.5 | +211 / −211 | no move | Matchup | |
| Jackrabbits at Wildcats | Wildcats 64% | Wildcats −5 | 145.5 | +179 / −179 | no move | Matchup | |
| Golden Lions at Razorbacks | Razorbacks 90% | Razorbacks −15.5 | 145.5 | +861 / −861 | no move | Matchup | |
| Titans at Aztecs | Aztecs 78% | Aztecs −9.5 | 145.5 | +344 / −344 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lumberjacks at Rebels | Rebels 83% | Rebels −11.5 | 145.5 | +473 / −473 | no move | Matchup | |
| Ospreys at Lancers | Lancers 86% | Lancers −13 | 145.5 | +620 / −620 | no move | Matchup |
How these lines are made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal inputs
- Ratings from results used in 19 of 19
an Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results - Home advantage used in 19 of 19
the league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results - Schedule unavailable for 19 (First game of a season for at least one side)
rest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures - Recent form unavailable for 19 (Fewer than three games played this season by at least one side)
average margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External inputs
- Injuries unavailable for 19 (No injury list read before this game)
players listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores - Travel and time zones in the data but not used for 19
distance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · newest read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC - Weather unavailable for 19 (Indoor sport)
forecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
NCAA Division I men's basketball team ratings
The Elo-style ratings the lines are made from, after the latest results. The league mean is 1500.
| # | Team | Rating | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan Wolverines | 1782 | 1 |
| 2 | Duke Blue Devils | 1766 | 1 |
| 3 | Arizona Wildcats | 1723 | 1 |
| 4 | Florida Gators | 1723 | 1 |
| 5 | Houston Cougars | 1703 | 1 |
| 6 | UConn Huskies | 1703 | 1 |
| 7 | St. John's Red Storm | 1702 | 1 |
| 8 | Gonzaga Bulldogs | 1702 | 1 |
| 9 | Illinois Fighting Illini | 1699 | 1 |
| 10 | Michigan State Spartans | 1684 | 1 |
| 11 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 1677 | 1 |
| 12 | Purdue Boilermakers | 1672 | 1 |
Top 12 of 361; every team's rating is on its page.
NCAA Division I men's basketball model record
Over 17026 NCAA Division I men's basketball games in 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, scored before each result was known: the favored side won 72% of the time, Brier score 0.186, mean spread error 9.723 points, mean total error 13.897. Calibration and method.
Bandwagon's model lines for NCAA Division I men's basketball games Tuesday, November 3: win probability, spread, total and moneyline for each game, movement since the last line, and the team ratings behind them. Not a sportsbook.