South Carolina Gamecocks open with the model giving them a 73% chance against the Stetson Hatters, and the score is still 0-0 at the start. No crowd picks are in yet, so the numbers are all from the house model.
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Colonial Life Arena · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line
Stetson Hatters vs South Carolina Gamecocks: final score and how the prediction did, November 3, 2026
- Final scoreStetson 55, South Carolina 81 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerSouth Carolina 73%
- Pregame Projected scoreSouth Carolina 77, Stetson 69
- Model spreadSouth Carolina −7.5 total 145.5
- Margin26 projected 7.6
- Total136 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Stetson Hatters or South Carolina Gamecocks: the bandwagon
Axle 27–73Market –
FinalPregame: SC 73%Baseline: SC 92.6% (+20.0)Big swing: 11.0 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| STET | 25 | 30 | 55 |
| SC | 42 | 39 | 81 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Stetson Hatters at South Carolina Gamecocks win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for SC over the last 5:00
Big swing11.0 ptstoward STET at 3:30 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final half
BaselineSC 92.6%game average, +20.0 points from the pregame 72.6%
Stetson Hatters vs South Carolina Gamecocks live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | STET | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | STET19/44 | SC31/61 |
| 3-pointers | STET6/16 | SC8/27 |
| Free throws | STET11/20 | SC11/16 |
| Rebounds | STET21 | SC35 |
| Assists | STET12 | SC18 |
| Turnovers | STET13 | SC5 |
| Steals | STET4 | SC7 |
| Blocks | STET3 | SC3 |
| Points in the paint | STET26 | SC44 |
| Fast-break points | STET4 | SC6 |
| Fouls | STET17 | SC18 |
| Largest lead | STET2 | SC33 |
Stetson Hatters vs South Carolina Gamecocks team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | STET | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Score | STET55 | SC81 |
| Average win probability | STET7% | SC93% |
| Longest scoring run | STET+3 | SC+15 |
| Time leading | STET3:24 | SC35:37 |
Stetson Hatters vs South Carolina Gamecocks odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET
Hatters27%
Win chanceGamecocks73%
SpreadSC −7.5closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+265away / −265homeaway / home
Line movementSC win chance, 27 stored lines
+8 pts for SC between Oct 29 and Nov 3
80%60%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 3
Every stored line
| Stored | SC win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 73% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:58 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 72% | −2 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 74% | +9 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- SC 1471 · STET 1415
- Home spread
- −7.5
- Stored
- Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-03 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Stetson Hatters 55, South Carolina Gamecocks 81. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
HattersGamecocks
Neutrals only–
HattersGamecocks
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Gamecocks–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Stetson Hatters vs South Carolina Gamecocks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Gamecocks a 7.5-point favorite at home, with a 73% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Gamecocks 1486 (200th of 361), Hatters 1401 (321st). The Gamecocks are 1-0; the Hatters are 0-2. The Gamecocks have won 2 of their last 5; the Hatters 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Gamecocks won 1, the Hatters 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Stetson Hatters
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at South Carolina Gamecocks | L 55–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Clemson Tigers | L 72–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Austin Peay Governors | L 60–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Eastern Kentucky Colonels | W 92–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | W 78–63 | – | – | matchup |
South Carolina Gamecocks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Stetson Hatters | W 81–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Oklahoma Sooners | L 74–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Ole Miss Rebels | W 64–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tennessee Volunteers | L 59–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Georgia Bulldogs | L 68–87 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stetson Hatters at South Carolina Gamecocks | 51–82 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Stetson Hatters: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
South Carolina Gamecocks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Hatters0-2 8th · L2
- Hatters rating1401 321st of 361, 2 games
- Gamecocks1-0 10th · W1
- Gamecocks rating1486 200th of 361, 1 games
Stetson Hatters 0-2
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak L2
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $STETMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $STETMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $STETMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $STETMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Stetson Hatters bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 10th · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SCMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SCMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SCMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $SCMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Carolina Gamecocks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Stetson Hatters at South Carolina Gamecocks
Sign in to post a take on $STETMBBSCMBB261104: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Stetson 55, South Carolina 81. Bandwagon's model had the South Carolina at 73% and projected South Carolina 77, Stetson 69; spread South Carolina −7.5, total 145.5.