Missouri Tigers lead Cleveland State Vikings 12-0 with 17:17 left in the 1st quarter, and the model gives the Tigers an 82% chance at home. No crowd picks are in yet, so the early read is all from the numbers. Jordan Reyes
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Mizzou Arena · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line
Cleveland State Vikings vs Missouri Tigers: final score and how the prediction did, November 3, 2026
- Final scoreCleveland State 50, Missouri 111 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerMissouri 82%
- Pregame Projected scoreMissouri 78, Cleveland State 67
- Model spreadMissouri −11 total 145.5
- Margin61 projected 11
- Total161 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Cleveland State Vikings or Missouri Tigers: the bandwagon
Axle 18–82Market –
FinalPregame: MIZ 82%Baseline: MIZ 98.7% (+17.1)Big swing: 15.0 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 18 | 32 | 50 |
| MIZ | 56 | 55 | 111 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Cleveland State Vikings at Missouri Tigers win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for MIZ over the last 5:00
Big swing15.0 ptstoward MIZ at 3:26 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final half
BaselineMIZ 98.7%game average, +17.1 points from the pregame 81.6%
Cleveland State Vikings vs Missouri Tigers live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | CLE | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | CLE19/58 | MIZ42/69 |
| 3-pointers | CLE2/16 | MIZ14/31 |
| Free throws | CLE10/17 | MIZ13/18 |
| Rebounds | CLE29 | MIZ43 |
| Assists | CLE11 | MIZ23 |
| Turnovers | CLE14 | MIZ4 |
| Steals | CLE4 | MIZ11 |
| Blocks | CLE4 | MIZ8 |
| Points in the paint | CLE30 | MIZ46 |
| Fast-break points | CLE6 | MIZ24 |
| Fouls | CLE13 | MIZ18 |
| Largest lead | CLE0 | MIZ63 |
Cleveland State Vikings vs Missouri Tigers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | CLE | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CLE50 | MIZ111 |
| Average win probability | CLE1% | MIZ99% |
| Longest scoring run | CLE+5 | MIZ+12 |
| Time leading | CLE0:00 | MIZ36:34 |
Cleveland State Vikings vs Missouri Tigers odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET
Vikings18%
Win chanceTigers82%
SpreadMIZ −11closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+445away / −445homeaway / home
Line movementMIZ win chance, 34 stored lines
+17 pts for MIZ between Oct 29 and Nov 3
91%60%
Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3
Every stored line
| Stored | MIZ win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:24 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:15 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:58 PM ET | 82% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 81% | −1 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 82% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 85% | +20 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- MIZ 1548 · CLE 1405
- Home spread
- −11
- Stored
- Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET · 2026-11-04 02:13 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Cleveland State Vikings 50, Missouri Tigers 111. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
VikingsTigers
Neutrals only–
VikingsTigers
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Tigers–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Cleveland State Vikings vs Missouri Tigers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Tigers a 11-point favorite at home, with a 82% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Tigers 1561 (76th of 361), Vikings 1392 (327th). The Tigers are 1-0; the Vikings are 0-1. The Tigers have won 1 of their last 5; the Vikings 1 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Tigers won 1, the Vikings 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Cleveland State Vikings
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Missouri Tigers | L 50–111 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Wright State Raiders | L 61–90 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars | W 101–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Robert Morris Colonials | L 64–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northern Kentucky Norse | L 70–81 | – | – | matchup |
Missouri Tigers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Cleveland State Vikings | W 111–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Miami Hurricanes | L 66–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kentucky Wildcats | L 72–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arkansas Razorbacks | L 84–88 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Oklahoma Sooners | L 64–80 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland State Vikings at Missouri Tigers | 59–86 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Cleveland State Vikings: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Missouri Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Vikings0-1 6th · L1
- Vikings rating1392 327th of 361, 1 games
- Tigers1-0 9th · W1
- Tigers rating1561 76th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CLEMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CLEMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CLEMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $CLEMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Cleveland State Vikings bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Missouri Tigers 1-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MIZMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MIZMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MIZMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $MIZMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Missouri Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Cleveland State Vikings at Missouri Tigers
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Final: Cleveland State 50, Missouri 111. Bandwagon's model had the Missouri at 82% and projected Missouri 78, Cleveland State 67; spread Missouri −11, total 145.5.