Rhode Island leads Holy Cross 5-4 with 17:12 left in the 1st period, a one-point margin at kickoff. The model gives the Rams a 78% chance right now, and no crowd picks are in yet.
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Ryan Center · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line
Holy Cross Crusaders vs Rhode Island Rams: final score and how the prediction did, November 3, 2026
- Final scoreHoly Cross 59, Rhode Island 103 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerRhode Island 78%
- Pregame Projected scoreRhode Island 77, Holy Cross 68
- Model spreadRhode Island −9.5 total 145.5
- Margin44 projected 9.4
- Total162 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Holy Cross Crusaders or Rhode Island Rams: the bandwagon
Axle 22–78Market –
FinalPregame: URI 78%Baseline: URI 96.8% (+19.2)Big swing: 5.9 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| HC | 27 | 32 | 59 |
| URI | 58 | 45 | 103 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Holy Cross Crusaders at Rhode Island Rams win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for URI over the last 5:00
Big swing5.9 ptstoward URI at 4:00 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final half
BaselineURI 96.8%game average, +19.2 points from the pregame 77.6%
Holy Cross Crusaders vs Rhode Island Rams live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | HC | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | HC21/55 | URI37/67 |
| 3-pointers | HC7/23 | URI12/31 |
| Free throws | HC10/16 | URI17/23 |
| Rebounds | HC29 | URI41 |
| Assists | HC14 | URI19 |
| Turnovers | HC16 | URI5 |
| Steals | HC1 | URI8 |
| Blocks | HC2 | URI3 |
| Points in the paint | HC26 | URI44 |
| Fast-break points | HC3 | URI18 |
| Fouls | HC23 | URI19 |
| Largest lead | HC1 | URI48 |
Holy Cross Crusaders vs Rhode Island Rams team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | HC | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Score | HC59 | URI103 |
| Average win probability | HC3% | URI97% |
| Longest scoring run | HC+5 | URI+19 |
| Time leading | HC0:00 | URI36:38 |
Holy Cross Crusaders vs Rhode Island Rams odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET
Crusaders22%
Win chanceRams78%
SpreadURI −9.5closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+347away / −347homeaway / home
Line movementURI win chance, 35 stored lines
+13 pts for URI between Oct 29 and Nov 3
86%60%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 3
Every stored line
| Stored | URI win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 2:23 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:24 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 78% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 77% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 81% | +16 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- URI 1488 · HC 1388
- Home spread
- −9.5
- Stored
- Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-03 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Holy Cross Crusaders 59, Rhode Island Rams 103. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
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CrusadersRams
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CrusadersRams
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Rams–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Holy Cross Crusaders vs Rhode Island Rams prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Rams a 9.5-point favorite at home, with a 78% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Rams 1503 (172nd of 361), Crusaders 1373 (338th). The Rams are 1-0; the Crusaders are 0-1. The Rams have won 2 of their last 5; the Crusaders 1 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Rams won 1, the Crusaders 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Holy Cross Crusaders
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Rhode Island Rams | L 59–103 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Lehigh Mountain Hawks | L 66–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Lafayette Leopards | W 82–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | L 62–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Boston University Terriers | L 63–78 | – | – | matchup |
Rhode Island Rams
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Holy Cross Crusaders | W 103–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Duquesne Dukes | L 61–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Fordham Rams | L 49–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Duquesne Dukes | W 64–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Saint Joseph's Hawks | L 55–61 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holy Cross Crusaders at Rhode Island Rams | 77–91 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Holy Cross Crusaders: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Rhode Island Rams: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Crusaders0-1 6th · L1
- Crusaders rating1373 338th of 361, 1 games
- Rams1-0 7th · W1
- Rams rating1503 172nd of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak L1
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No stances yet today on $HCMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Holy Cross Crusaders bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $URIMBB
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No stances yet today on $URIMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Rhode Island Rams bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Holy Cross Crusaders at Rhode Island Rams
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Final: Holy Cross 59, Rhode Island 103. Bandwagon's model had the Rhode Island at 78% and projected Rhode Island 77, Holy Cross 68; spread Rhode Island −9.5, total 145.5.