The Cal State Fullerton Titans and San Diego State Aztecs are tied 2-2 in the 1st. The model has the Aztecs at 78 percent, and no crowd picks are in yet.
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Viejas Arena · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs San Diego State Aztecs: final score and how the prediction did, November 3, 2026
- Final scoreCal State Fullerton 78, San Diego State 102 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerSan Diego State 78%
- Pregame Projected scoreSan Diego State 77, Cal State Fullerton 68
- Model spreadSan Diego State −9.5 total 145.5
- Margin24 projected 9.3
- Total180 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Cal State Fullerton Titans or San Diego State Aztecs: the bandwagon
Axle 22–78Market –
FinalPregame: SDSU 78%Baseline: SDSU 89.3% (+11.8)Big swing: 15.4 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUF | 43 | 35 | 78 |
| SDSU | 54 | 48 | 102 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Cal State Fullerton Titans at San Diego State Aztecs win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for SDSU over the last 5:00
Big swing15.4 ptstoward SDSU at 10:07 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final half
BaselineSDSU 89.3%game average, +11.8 points from the pregame 77.5%
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs San Diego State Aztecs live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | CSUF | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | CSUF28/69 | SDSU33/68 |
| 3-pointers | CSUF7/32 | SDSU8/23 |
| Free throws | CSUF15/24 | SDSU28/34 |
| Rebounds | CSUF28 | SDSU50 |
| Assists | CSUF12 | SDSU20 |
| Turnovers | CSUF9 | SDSU15 |
| Steals | CSUF6 | SDSU6 |
| Blocks | CSUF3 | SDSU6 |
| Points in the paint | CSUF34 | SDSU36 |
| Fast-break points | CSUF9 | SDSU7 |
| Fouls | CSUF25 | SDSU21 |
| Largest lead | CSUF6 | SDSU25 |
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs San Diego State Aztecs team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | CSUF | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CSUF78 | SDSU102 |
| Average win probability | CSUF11% | SDSU89% |
| Longest scoring run | CSUF+10 | SDSU+11 |
| Time leading | CSUF3:19 | SDSU32:53 |
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs San Diego State Aztecs odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 15 h ago
Titans22%
Win chanceAztecs78%
SpreadSDSU −9.5closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+344away / −344homeaway / home
Line movementSDSU win chance, 37 stored lines
+13 pts for SDSU between Oct 29 and Nov 4
86%60%
Oct 29Nov 1Nov 4
Every stored line
| Stored | SDSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:08 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:48 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET | 78% | +1 |
| Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 77% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 81% | +16 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- SDSU 1600 · CSUF 1500
- Home spread
- −9.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET · 2026-11-04 05:10 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Cal State Fullerton Titans 78, San Diego State Aztecs 102. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
TitansAztecs
Neutrals only–
TitansAztecs
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Aztecs–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs San Diego State Aztecs prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Aztecs a 9.5-point favorite at home, with a 78% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Aztecs 1612 (40th of 361), Titans 1489 (196th). The Aztecs are 0-0; the Titans are 0-0. The Aztecs have won 4 of their last 5; the Titans 3 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Aztecs won 2, the Titans 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at San Diego State Aztecs | L 78–102 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | L 63–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UC Davis Aggies | W 82–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cal State Northridge Matadors | W 90–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UC San Diego Tritons | W 75–71 | – | – | matchup |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Cal State Fullerton Titans | W 102–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah State Aggies | L 62–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New Mexico Lobos | W 64–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Colorado State Rams | W 71–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UNLV Rebels | W 89–86 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Fullerton Titans at San Diego State Aztecs | 57–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| Cal State Fullerton Titans at San Diego State Aztecs | 57–80 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Cal State Fullerton Titans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
San Diego State Aztecs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Titans0-0 3rd · -
- Titans rating1489 196th of 361, 1 games
- Aztecs0-0 6th · -
- Aztecs rating1612 40th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak -
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CSUFMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CSUFMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $CSUFMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Cal State Fullerton Titans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak -
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SDSUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SDSUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SDSUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $SDSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the San Diego State Aztecs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Cal State Fullerton Titans at San Diego State Aztecs
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Final: Cal State Fullerton 78, San Diego State 102. Bandwagon's model had the San Diego State at 78% and projected San Diego State 77, Cal State Fullerton 68; spread San Diego State −9.5, total 145.5.