Boston College leads Wagner 7-3 with 17:28 left in the first quarter, a 4-point margin for the Eagles. The model gives Boston College a 66% chance right now, and no crowd picks are in yet.
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Conte Forum · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line
Wagner Seahawks vs Boston College Eagles: final score and how the prediction did, November 3, 2026
- Final scoreWagner 50, Boston College 76 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerBoston College 66%
- Pregame Projected scoreBoston College 76, Wagner 70
- Model spreadBoston College −5.5 total 145.5
- Margin26 projected 5.5
- Total126 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Wagner Seahawks or Boston College Eagles: the bandwagon
Axle 34–66Market –
FinalPregame: BC 66%Baseline: BC 93.3% (+27.6)Big swing: 16.9 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAG | 23 | 27 | 50 |
| BC | 38 | 38 | 76 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Wagner Seahawks at Boston College Eagles win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for BC over the last 5:00
Big swing16.9 ptstoward BC at 3:05 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final half
BaselineBC 93.3%game average, +27.6 points from the pregame 65.7%
Wagner Seahawks vs Boston College Eagles live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | WAG | BC |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | WAG17/56 | BC25/51 |
| 3-pointers | WAG3/15 | BC7/17 |
| Free throws | WAG13/17 | BC19/25 |
| Rebounds | WAG34 | BC36 |
| Assists | WAG5 | BC12 |
| Turnovers | WAG13 | BC11 |
| Steals | WAG3 | BC6 |
| Blocks | WAG5 | BC3 |
| Points in the paint | WAG24 | BC34 |
| Fast-break points | WAG5 | BC14 |
| Fouls | WAG23 | BC15 |
| Largest lead | WAG3 | BC27 |
Wagner Seahawks vs Boston College Eagles team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | WAG | BC |
|---|---|---|
| Score | WAG50 | BC76 |
| Average win probability | WAG7% | BC93% |
| Longest scoring run | WAG+7 | BC+10 |
| Time leading | WAG2:13 | BC36:15 |
Wagner Seahawks vs Boston College Eagles odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 20 h ago
Seahawks34%
Win chanceEagles66%
SpreadBC −5.5closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+192away / −192homeaway / home
Line movementBC win chance, 25 stored lines
+1 pts for BC between Oct 29 and Nov 3
72%60%
Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3
Every stored line
| Stored | BC win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:46 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 66% | +1 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- BC 1446 · WAG 1444
- Home spread
- −5.5
- Stored
- Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET · 2026-11-04 02:08 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Wagner Seahawks 50, Boston College Eagles 76. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
SeahawksEagles
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SeahawksEagles
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Eagles–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Wagner Seahawks vs Boston College Eagles prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Eagles a 5.5-point favorite at home, with a 66% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Eagles 1464 (236th of 361), Seahawks 1425 (286th). The Eagles are 0-0; the Seahawks are 0-0. The Eagles have won 3 of their last 5; the Seahawks 3 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Wagner Seahawks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Boston College Eagles | L 50–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Long Island University Sharks | L 56–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Central Connecticut Blue Devils | W 70–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Chicago State Cougars | W 80–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New Haven Chargers | W 65–62 | – | – | matchup |
Boston College Eagles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Wagner Seahawks | W 76–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish | W 77–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Virginia Tech Hokies | L 63–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Miami Hurricanes | L 54–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons | W 68–67 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Wagner Seahawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Boston College Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Seahawks0-0 9th · -
- Seahawks rating1425 286th of 361, 1 games
- Eagles0-0 2nd · -
- Eagles rating1464 236th of 361, 1 games
Wagner Seahawks 0-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak -
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $WAGMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $WAGMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $WAGMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $WAGMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Wagner Seahawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak -
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BCMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $BCMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $BCMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $BCMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Boston College Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Wagner Seahawks at Boston College Eagles
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Final: Wagner 50, Boston College 76. Bandwagon's model had the Boston College at 66% and projected Boston College 76, Wagner 70; spread Boston College −5.5, total 145.5.