LSU Tigers open at home against LSU New Orleans Privateers with the score still 0-0 at 19:20 of the first period. The model gives the Tigers a 68% chance right now, and no crowd picks are in yet.
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Pete Maravich Assembly Center · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line
LSU New Orleans Privateers vs LSU Tigers: final score and how the prediction did, November 3, 2026
- Final scoreLSU New Orleans 57, LSU 100 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerLSU 68%
- Pregame Projected scoreLSU 76, LSU New Orleans 70
- Model spreadLSU −6 total 145.5
- Margin43 projected 6.1
- Total157 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
LSU New Orleans Privateers or LSU Tigers: the bandwagon
Axle 32–68Market –
FinalPregame: LSU 68%Baseline: LSU 92.2% (+24.4)Big swing: 25.8 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOLA | 17 | 39 | 57 |
| LSU | 53 | 46 | 100 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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LSU New Orleans Privateers at LSU Tigers win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for LSU over the last 5:00
Big swing25.8 ptstoward LSU at 20:00 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final half
BaselineLSU 92.2%game average, +24.4 points from the pregame 67.8%
LSU New Orleans Privateers vs LSU Tigers live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | NOLA | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | NOLA15/61 | LSU39/76 |
| 3-pointers | NOLA4/29 | LSU7/28 |
| Free throws | NOLA23/38 | LSU15/20 |
| Rebounds | NOLA38 | LSU53 |
| Assists | NOLA4 | LSU24 |
| Turnovers | NOLA16 | LSU12 |
| Steals | NOLA7 | LSU11 |
| Blocks | NOLA4 | LSU6 |
| Points in the paint | NOLA20 | LSU60 |
| Fast-break points | NOLA14 | LSU30 |
| Fouls | NOLA18 | LSU25 |
| Largest lead | NOLA0 | LSU54 |
LSU New Orleans Privateers vs LSU Tigers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | NOLA | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NOLA57 | LSU100 |
| Average win probability | NOLA8% | LSU92% |
| Longest scoring run | NOLA+8 | LSU+11 |
| Time leading | NOLA0:00 | LSU38:07 |
LSU New Orleans Privateers vs LSU Tigers odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 18 h ago
Privateers32%
Win chanceTigers68%
SpreadLSU −6closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+211away / −211homeaway / home
Line movementLSU win chance, 23 stored lines
+3 pts for LSU between Oct 29 and Nov 3
74%60%
Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3
Every stored line
| Stored | LSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 2:23 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 68% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 69% | +4 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- LSU 1487 · NOLA 1469
- Home spread
- −6
- Stored
- Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET · 2026-11-04 02:13 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: LSU New Orleans Privateers 57, LSU Tigers 100. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
PrivateersTigers
Neutrals only–
PrivateersTigers
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Tigers–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
LSU New Orleans Privateers vs LSU Tigers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Tigers a 6-point favorite at home, with a 68% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Tigers 1508 (164th of 361), Privateers 1448 (255th). The Tigers are 0-0; the Privateers are 0-0. The Tigers have won 1 of their last 5; the Privateers 1 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Tigers won 3, the Privateers 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
LSU New Orleans Privateers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at LSU Tigers | L 57–100 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | L 61–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Houston Christian Huskies | W 73–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs SE Louisiana Lions | L 78–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs McNeese Cowboys | L 63–66 | – | – | matchup |
LSU Tigers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LSU New Orleans Privateers | W 100–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kentucky Wildcats | L 82–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Texas A&M Aggies | L 91–94 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Auburn Tigers | L 74–88 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oklahoma Sooners | L 67–83 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSU New Orleans Privateers at LSU Tigers | 58–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| LSU New Orleans Privateers at LSU Tigers | 70–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| LSU New Orleans Privateers at LSU Tigers | 62–91 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
LSU New Orleans Privateers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
LSU Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Privateers0-0 5th · -
- Privateers rating1448 255th of 361, 1 games
- Tigers0-0 7th · -
- Tigers rating1508 164th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak -
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $NOLAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $NOLAMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the LSU New Orleans Privateers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
LSU Tigers 0-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak -
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $LSUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $LSUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $LSUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $LSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the LSU Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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