NCAA Division I men's basketball odds Tuesday, November 10
Win chance, spread and total for every game. Today's NCAA Division I men's basketball predictions · Standings · every league
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
NCAA Division I men's basketball odds Tuesday, November 10
55 games| Game | Kick (ET) | Axle win | Spread | Total | Moneyline (away / home) | Movement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies at Dons | Dons 73% | Dons −7.5 | 145.5 | +265 / −265 | no move | Matchup | |
| Gators at Seminoles | Gators 57% | Gators −0.5 | 148.5 | −132 / +132 | no move | Matchup | |
| Hornets at Hoyas | Hoyas 84% | Hoyas −12 | 145.5 | +510 / −510 | no move | Matchup | |
| Highlanders at Scarlet Knights | Scarlet Knights 74% | Scarlet Knights −8 | 145.5 | +279 / −279 | no move | Matchup | |
| Black Knights at Chargers | Chargers 73% | Chargers −8 | 143.5 | +277 / −277 | no move | Matchup | |
| Braves at Wildcats | Wildcats 64% | Wildcats −5 | 145.5 | +177 / −177 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bulldogs at Friars | Friars 78% | Friars −9.5 | 145.5 | +348 / −348 | no move | Matchup | |
| Buccaneers at Demon Deacons | Demon Deacons 76% | Demon Deacons −9 | 147.5 | +325 / −325 | no move | Matchup | |
| Titans at Musketeers | Musketeers 70% | Musketeers −7 | 145.5 | +232 / −232 | no move | Matchup | |
| Colonels at Yellow Jackets | Yellow Jackets 67% | Yellow Jackets −6 | 145.5 | +199 / −199 | no move | Matchup | |
| Phoenix at Revolutionaries | Revolutionaries 77% | Revolutionaries −9 | 145 | +336 / −336 | no move | Matchup | |
| Crimson at Huskies | Crimson 57% | Crimson −0.5 | 145.5 | −131 / +131 | no move | Matchup | |
| Gaels at Rams | Rams 63% | Rams −4.5 | 144 | +170 / −170 | no move | Matchup | |
| Explorers at Wildcats | Wildcats 84% | Wildcats −12.5 | 146 | +542 / −542 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lions at Trojans | Trojans 71% | Trojans −7.5 | 145.5 | +250 / −250 | no move | Matchup | |
| Black Bears at Rams | Rams 80% | Rams −10 | 146.5 | +395 / −395 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bears at Eagles | Eagles 65% | Eagles −5.5 | 145.5 | +187 / −187 | no move | Matchup | |
| Spartans at Blue Devils neutral site | Blue Devils 65% | Blue Devils −5.5 | 145.5 | +184 / −184 | no move | Matchup | |
| Blue Hose at Wolfpack | Wolfpack 83% | Wolfpack −11.5 | 147 | +486 / −486 | no move | Matchup | |
| Saints at Flyers | Flyers 74% | Flyers −8 | 146.5 | +290 / −290 | no move | Matchup | |
| Hawks at Eagles | Eagles 78% | Eagles −9.5 | 142.5 | +348 / −348 | total 144 → 142.5, home 77% → 78% | Matchup | |
| Jaguars at Knights | Knights 73% | Knights −8 | 150.5 | +276 / −276 | no move | Matchup | |
| Hokies at Hawkeyes neutral site | Hawkeyes 64% | Hawkeyes −5 | 144 | +178 / −178 | no move | Matchup | |
| Eagles at Owls | Owls 62% | Owls −4.5 | 145.5 | +161 / −161 | no move | Matchup | |
| Raiders at Rockets | Rockets 64% | Rockets −5 | 147.5 | +174 / −174 | no move | Matchup | |
| Cougars at Dukes | Dukes 74% | Dukes −8 | 145 | +290 / −290 | no move | Matchup | |
| Cowboys at Tar Heels | Tar Heels 78% | Tar Heels −9.5 | 145.5 | +357 / −357 | no move | Matchup | |
| Penguins at Chippewas | Chippewas 56% | Chippewas −3 | 147 | +130 / −130 | no move | Matchup | |
| Tigers at Commodores | Commodores 83% | Commodores −11.5 | 146 | +495 / −495 | no move | Matchup | |
| Purple Aces at Blue Raiders | Blue Raiders 79% | Blue Raiders −10 | 145.5 | +381 / −381 | no move | Matchup | |
| Colonels at Green Wave | Green Wave 69% | Green Wave −6.5 | 145.5 | +218 / −218 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bobcats at Vaqueros | Vaqueros 69% | Vaqueros −6.5 | 145.5 | +228 / −228 | no move | Matchup | |
| Braves at Racers | Racers 85% | Racers −12.5 | 147.5 | +561 / −561 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bruins at Bisons | Bruins 52% | Bisons −0.5 | 145.5 | −109 / +109 | no move | Matchup | |
| Phoenix at Panthers | Panthers 80% | Panthers −10.5 | 145.5 | +399 / −399 | no move | Matchup | |
| Huskies at Coyotes | Coyotes 71% | Coyotes −7 | 145.5 | +244 / −244 | no move | Matchup | |
| Fighting Illini at Red Raiders | Red Raiders 56% | Red Raiders −3 | 145 | +127 / −127 | no move | Matchup | |
| Norse at Billikens | Billikens 79% | Billikens −9.5 | 148 | +366 / −366 | no move | Matchup | |
| Panthers at Mustangs | Mustangs 78% | Mustangs −9.5 | 145.5 | +355 / −355 | no move | Matchup | |
| Jaguars at Cyclones | Cyclones 85% | Cyclones −12.5 | 147.5 | +559 / −559 | no move | Matchup | |
| Skyhawks at Red Wolves | Red Wolves 75% | Red Wolves −8.5 | 149.5 | +305 / −305 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bulldogs at Bears | Bears 53% | Bears −2 | 145 | +113 / −113 | no move | Matchup | |
| Stags at Badgers | Badgers 80% | Badgers −10.5 | 145.5 | +409 / −409 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lions at Rebels | Rebels 78% | Rebels −9.5 | 145.5 | +350 / −350 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bison at Cavaliers | Cavaliers 91% | Cavaliers −16.5 | 147 | +1014 / −1014 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bluejays at Wildcats | Wildcats 55% | Wildcats −2.5 | 144 | +121 / −121 | no move | Matchup | |
| Panthers at Bulldogs | Bulldogs 73% | Bulldogs −8 | 145.5 | +272 / −272 | no move | Matchup | |
| Pride at Sun Devils | Sun Devils 58% | Sun Devils −3.5 | 145.5 | +139 / −139 | no move | Matchup | |
| Trojans at Lobos | Lobos 87% | Lobos −13.5 | 147.5 | +660 / −660 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lumberjacks at Wildcats | Wildcats 94% | Wildcats −19 | 148.5 | +1526 / −1526 | no move | Matchup | |
| Warhawks at Horned Frogs | Horned Frogs 92% | Horned Frogs −17.5 | 145.5 | +1185 / −1185 | no move | Matchup | |
| Toreros at Buffaloes | Buffaloes 81% | Buffaloes −10.5 | 145.5 | +423 / −423 | no move | Matchup | |
| Trailblazers at Aggies | Aggies 85% | Aggies −12.5 | 147 | +580 / −580 | no move | Matchup | |
| Wildcats at Utes | Utes 64% | Utes −5 | 145.5 | +180 / −180 | no move | Matchup | |
| Jayhawks at Wildcats neutral site | Jayhawks 51% | Wildcats −1 | 146.5 | −105 / +105 | no move | Matchup |
How these lines are made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal inputs
- Ratings from results used in 55 of 55
an Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results - Home advantage used in 55 of 55
the league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results - Schedule used in 50 of 55 · unavailable for 5 (First game of a season for at least one side)
rest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures - Recent form unavailable for 55 (Fewer than three games played this season by at least one side)
average margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External inputs
- Injuries unavailable for 55 (More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that window)
players listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores - Travel and time zones in the data but not used for 44 · unavailable for 11 (No venue coordinates stored for the home side; A previous venue or its coordinates is not stored)
distance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · newest read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC - Weather unavailable for 55 (Indoor sport)
forecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
NCAA Division I men's basketball team ratings
The Elo-style ratings the lines are made from, after the latest results. The league mean is 1500.
| # | Team | Rating | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan Wolverines | 1782 | 1 |
| 2 | Duke Blue Devils | 1766 | 1 |
| 3 | Arizona Wildcats | 1723 | 1 |
| 4 | Florida Gators | 1723 | 1 |
| 5 | Houston Cougars | 1703 | 1 |
| 6 | UConn Huskies | 1703 | 1 |
| 7 | St. John's Red Storm | 1702 | 1 |
| 8 | Gonzaga Bulldogs | 1702 | 1 |
| 9 | Illinois Fighting Illini | 1699 | 1 |
| 10 | Michigan State Spartans | 1684 | 1 |
| 11 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 1677 | 1 |
| 12 | Purdue Boilermakers | 1672 | 1 |
Top 12 of 361; every team's rating is on its page.
NCAA Division I men's basketball model record
Over 17026 NCAA Division I men's basketball games in 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, scored before each result was known: the favored side won 72% of the time, Brier score 0.186, mean spread error 9.723 points, mean total error 13.897. Calibration and method.
Bandwagon's model lines for NCAA Division I men's basketball games Tuesday, November 10: win probability, spread, total and moneyline for each game, movement since the last line, and the team ratings behind them. Not a sportsbook.