Army Black Knights vs New Haven Chargers prediction, odds and picks, November 10, 2026
- Projected winnerNew Haven 73%
- Projected scoreNew Haven 76, Army 68
- Model spreadNew Haven −8 total 143.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Army Black Knights or New Haven Chargers: the bandwagon
Axle 27–73Market –
Army Black Knights at New Haven Chargers win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Army Black Knights vs New Haven Chargers live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Army Black Knights vs New Haven Chargers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | ARMY | NHVN |
|---|---|---|
| Score | ARMY– | NHVN– |
| Average win probability | ARMY– | NHVN– |
| Longest scoring run | ARMY– | NHVN– |
| Time leading | ARMY– | NHVN– |
Army Black Knights vs New Haven Chargers odds
Every stored line
| Stored | NHVN win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:20 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:00 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 73% | −2 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 75% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 74% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 77% | +12 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- NHVN 1432 · ARMY 1372
- Home spread
- −8
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Army Black Knights vs New Haven Chargers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Chargers a 8-point favorite at home, with a 73% chance to win. The model total is 143.5. Ratings: Chargers 1432 (274th of 361), Black Knights 1372 (340th). The Chargers are 0-1; the Black Knights are 0-1. The Chargers have won 3 of their last 5; the Black Knights 0 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Army Black Knights
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Duke Blue Devils | L 50–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Bucknell Bison | L 55–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Lafayette Leopards | L 77–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Bucknell Bison | L 73–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Navy Midshipmen | L 63–81 | – | – | matchup |
New Haven Chargers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Syracuse Orange | L 58–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Le Moyne Dolphins | W 66–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Wagner Seahawks | L 62–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | W 84–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Stonehill Skyhawks | W 64–51 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Army Black Knights: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
New Haven Chargers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Black Knights0-1 3rd · L1
- Black Knights rating1372 340th of 361, 1 games
- Chargers0-1 8th · L1
- Chargers rating1432 274th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak L1
No stances yet today on $ARMYMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Army Black Knights bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $NHVNMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the New Haven Chargers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: New Haven 73% to win. Projected score New Haven 76, Army 68; spread New Haven −8, total 143.5. Army Black Knights at New Haven Chargers, Tue, Nov 10, 7:00 PM ET.