Syracuse Orange lead New Haven Chargers 3-0 early in the first period, with the game at 17:03. Our model gives Syracuse a 72% chance at home, and no crowd picks are in yet.
NCAA Men's Basketball · · JMA Wireless Dome · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line
New Haven Chargers vs Syracuse Orange: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreNew Haven 58, Syracuse 74 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerSyracuse 72%
- Pregame Projected scoreSyracuse 77, New Haven 69
- Model spreadSyracuse −7.5 total 145.5
- Margin16 projected 7.5
- Total132 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
New Haven Chargers or Syracuse Orange: the bandwagon
Axle 28–72Market –
FinalPregame: SYR 72%Baseline: SYR 96.9% (+24.5)Big swing: 8.2 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| NHVN | 17 | 41 | 58 |
| SYR | 39 | 35 | 74 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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New Haven Chargers at Syracuse Orange win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for SYR over the last 5:00
Big swing8.2 ptstoward SYR at 0:26 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final half
BaselineSYR 96.9%game average, +24.5 points from the pregame 72.3%
New Haven Chargers vs Syracuse Orange live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | NHVN | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | NHVN23/54 | SYR24/61 |
| 3-pointers | NHVN7/21 | SYR8/28 |
| Free throws | NHVN5/9 | SYR18/25 |
| Rebounds | NHVN34 | SYR40 |
| Assists | NHVN13 | SYR15 |
| Turnovers | NHVN13 | SYR5 |
| Steals | NHVN1 | SYR9 |
| Blocks | NHVN2 | SYR6 |
| Points in the paint | NHVN28 | SYR28 |
| Fast-break points | NHVN9 | SYR4 |
| Fouls | NHVN16 | SYR11 |
| Largest lead | NHVN0 | SYR28 |
New Haven Chargers vs Syracuse Orange team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | NHVN | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NHVN58 | SYR74 |
| Average win probability | NHVN3% | SYR97% |
| Longest scoring run | NHVN+6 | SYR+18 |
| Time leading | NHVN0:00 | SYR39:04 |
New Haven Chargers vs Syracuse Orange odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET
Chargers28%
Win chanceOrange72%
SpreadSYR −7.5closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+262away / −262homeaway / home
Line movementSYR win chance, 11 stored lines
+7 pts for SYR between Oct 29 and Nov 2
80%60%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | SYR win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 72% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 75% | +10 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- SYR 1498 · NHVN 1444
- Home spread
- −7.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET · 2026-11-03 01:31 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: New Haven Chargers 58, Syracuse Orange 74. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
ChargersOrange
Neutrals only–
ChargersOrange
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Orange–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
New Haven Chargers vs Syracuse Orange prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Orange a 7.5-point favorite at home, with a 72% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Orange 1510 (161st of 361), Chargers 1432 (273rd). The Orange are 1-0; the Chargers are 0-1. The Orange have won 1 of their last 5; the Chargers 3 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
New Haven Chargers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Syracuse Orange | L 58–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Le Moyne Dolphins | W 66–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Wagner Seahawks | L 62–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | W 84–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Stonehill Skyhawks | W 64–51 | – | – | matchup |
Syracuse Orange
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs New Haven Chargers | W 74–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| at SMU Mustangs | L 69–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Pittsburgh Panthers | L 69–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Louisville Cardinals | L 62–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Wake Forest Demon Deacons | L 83–88 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
New Haven Chargers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Syracuse Orange: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Chargers0-1 8th · L1
- Chargers rating1432 273rd of 361, 1 games
- Orange1-0 14th · W1
- Orange rating1510 161st of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak L1
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Syracuse Orange 1-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 14th · streak W1
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