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NCAA Men's Basketball · · McLeod Center · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Green Bay Phoenix vs Northern Iowa Panthers prediction, odds and picks, November 10, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Green Bay Phoenix or Northern Iowa Panthers: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 20–80Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: UNI 80%
Record 0-0
––
Game clock
KickoffTuesday, November 10 at 8:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
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Green Bay Phoenix at Northern Iowa Panthers win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Green Bay Phoenix vs Northern Iowa Panthers live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Green Bay Phoenix vs Northern Iowa Panthers team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatGBUNI
ScoreGB–UNI–
Average win probabilityGB–UNI–
Longest scoring runGB–UNI–
Time leadingGB–UNI–

Green Bay Phoenix vs Northern Iowa Panthers odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 7 h ago
Phoenix20%
Win chance
Panthers80%
SpreadUNI −10.5
Total145.5
Moneyline+398away / −398homeaway / home
Line movementUNI win chance, 40 stored lines
+15 pts for UNI since Oct 29
89%60%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: UNI 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: UNI 84%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: UNI 84%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: UNI 84%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: UNI 80%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: UNI 80%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: UNI 80%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: UNI 80%Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET: UNI 80%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: UNI 80%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: UNI 80%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: UNI 80%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: UNI 80%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: UNI 80%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: UNI 80%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: UNI 80%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: UNI 80%Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET: UNI 80%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: UNI 80%Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET: UNI 80%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: UNI 80%Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET: UNI 80%Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET: UNI 80%Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET: UNI 80%Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET: UNI 80%Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET: UNI 80%Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET: UNI 80%Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET: UNI 80%Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET: UNI 80%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: UNI 80%Nov 3, 2:23 AM ET: UNI 80%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: UNI 80%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: UNI 80%Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET: UNI 80%Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET: UNI 80%Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET: UNI 80%Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET: UNI 80%Nov 4, 12:20 AM ET: UNI 80%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: UNI 80%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: UNI 80%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredUNI winMove
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET80%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET80%0
Nov 4, 12:20 AM ET80%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET80%0
Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET80%0
Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET80%0
Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET80%0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET80%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET80%0
Nov 3, 2:23 AM ET80%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET80%0
Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET80%0
Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET80%0
Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET80%0
Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET80%0
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET80%0
Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET80%0
Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET80%0
Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET80%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET80%0
Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET80%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET80%0
Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET80%0
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET80%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET80%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET80%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET80%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET80%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET80%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET80%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET80%0
Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET80%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET80%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET80%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET80%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET80%−4
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET84%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET84%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET84%+19
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
UNI 1598 · GB 1472
Home spread
−10.5
Stored
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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PhoenixPanthers
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Panthers–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Green Bay Phoenix vs Northern Iowa Panthers prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Panthers a 10.5-point favorite at home, with a 80% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Panthers 1598 (46th of 361), Phoenix 1472 (222nd). The Panthers are 0-0; the Phoenix are 0-0. The Panthers have won 4 of their last 5; the Phoenix 3 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Green Bay Phoenix

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Northern Kentucky NorseL 76–96––matchup
vs Purdue Fort Wayne MastodonsW 64–56––matchup
vs Youngstown State PenguinsW 85–63––matchup
at Detroit Mercy TitansL 70–74––matchup
at Oakland Golden GrizzliesW 73–68––matchup

Northern Iowa Panthers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at St. John's Red StormL 53–79––matchup
at UIC FlamesW 84–69––matchup
at Bradley BravesW 73–69––matchup
at Illinois State RedbirdsW 74–52––matchup
vs Evansville Purple AcesW 68–59––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Green Bay Phoenix: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Northern Iowa Panthers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Phoenix0-0 5th · -
  • Phoenix rating1472 222nd of 361, 0 games
  • Panthers0-0 8th · -
  • Panthers rating1598 46th of 361, 0 games

Green Bay Phoenix 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $GBMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $GBMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $GBMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $GBMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Green Bay Phoenix bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Phoenix roster, schedule and more

Northern Iowa Panthers 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UNIMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UNIMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UNIMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $UNIMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Northern Iowa Panthers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Panthers roster, schedule and more

Takes on Green Bay Phoenix at Northern Iowa Panthers

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Model: Northern Iowa 80% to win. Projected score Northern Iowa 78, Green Bay 68; spread Northern Iowa −10.5, total 145.5. Green Bay Phoenix at Northern Iowa Panthers, Tue, Nov 10, 8:00 PM ET.