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NCAA Men's Basketball · · The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

SE Louisiana Lions vs Ole Miss Rebels prediction, odds and picks, November 10, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

SE Louisiana Lions or Ole Miss Rebels: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 22–78Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: MISS 78%
Record 0-0
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Record 0-0
Game clock
KickoffTuesday, November 10 at 8:30 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
–

SE Louisiana Lions at Ole Miss Rebels win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

SE Louisiana Lions vs Ole Miss Rebels live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

SE Louisiana Lions vs Ole Miss Rebels team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatSELAMISS
ScoreSELA–MISS–
Average win probabilitySELA–MISS–
Longest scoring runSELA–MISS–
Time leadingSELA–MISS–

SE Louisiana Lions vs Ole Miss Rebels odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 11 h ago
Lions22%
Win chance
Rebels78%
SpreadMISS −9.5
Total145.5
Moneyline+350away / −350homeaway / home
Line movementMISS win chance, 41 stored lines
+13 pts for MISS since Oct 29
85%60%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: MISS 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: MISS 80%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: MISS 80%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: MISS 80%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: MISS 76%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: MISS 76%Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET: MISS 76%Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET: MISS 76%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: MISS 76%Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET: MISS 76%Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET: MISS 76%Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET: MISS 76%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: MISS 76%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: MISS 76%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: MISS 76%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: MISS 76%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: MISS 76%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: MISS 76%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: MISS 76%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: MISS 76%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: MISS 76%Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET: MISS 76%Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET: MISS 76%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: MISS 76%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: MISS 76%Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET: MISS 76%Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET: MISS 78%Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET: MISS 78%Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET: MISS 78%Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET: MISS 78%Nov 3, 12:15 AM ET: MISS 78%Nov 3, 12:24 AM ET: MISS 78%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: MISS 78%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: MISS 78%Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET: MISS 78%Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET: MISS 78%Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET: MISS 78%Nov 3, 10:08 PM ET: MISS 78%Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET: MISS 78%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: MISS 78%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: MISS 78%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredMISS winMove
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET78%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET78%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET78%0
Nov 3, 10:08 PM ET78%0
Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET78%0
Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET78%0
Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET78%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET78%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET78%0
Nov 3, 12:24 AM ET78%0
Nov 3, 12:15 AM ET78%0
Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET78%+2
Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET76%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET76%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET76%−4
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET80%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET80%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET80%+15
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
MISS 1522 · SELA 1418
Home spread
−9.5
Stored
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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LionsRebels
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Rebels–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

SE Louisiana Lions vs Ole Miss Rebels prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Rebels a 9.5-point favorite at home, with a 78% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Rebels 1522 (138th of 361), Lions 1418 (292nd). The Rebels are 0-0; the Lions are 0-0. The Rebels have won 4 of their last 5; the Lions 1 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Rebels won 1, the Lions 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

SE Louisiana Lions

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at LSU New Orleans PrivateersW 82–78––matchup
at Nicholls ColonelsL 60–68––matchup
vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi IslandersL 68–73––matchup
vs UT Rio Grande Valley VaquerosL 75–96––matchup
at East Texas A&M LionsL 53–70––matchup

Ole Miss Rebels

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Alcorn State BravesW 99–58––matchup
at Arkansas RazorbacksL 90–93––matchup
at Alabama Crimson TideW 80–79––matchup
at Georgia BulldogsW 76–72––matchup
at Texas LonghornsW 76–66––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
SE Louisiana Lions at Ole Miss Rebels58–88––matchup

Injuries

SE Louisiana Lions: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Ole Miss Rebels: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Lions0-0 9th · -
  • Lions rating1418 292nd of 361, 0 games
  • Rebels0-0 11th · -
  • Rebels rating1522 138th of 361, 1 games

SE Louisiana Lions 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SELAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SELAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SELAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $SELAMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the SE Louisiana Lions bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Lions roster, schedule and more

Ole Miss Rebels 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 11th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MISSMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MISSMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MISSMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MISSMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Ole Miss Rebels bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Rebels roster, schedule and more

Takes on SE Louisiana Lions at Ole Miss Rebels

Sign in to post a take on $SELAMBBMISSMBB261111: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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Model: Ole Miss 78% to win. Projected score Ole Miss 77, SE Louisiana 68; spread Ole Miss −9.5, total 145.5. SE Louisiana Lions at Ole Miss Rebels, Tue, Nov 10, 8:30 PM ET.