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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Amica Mutual Pavilion · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Bryant Bulldogs vs Providence Friars prediction, odds and picks, November 10, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Bryant Bulldogs or Providence Friars: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 22–78Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: PROV 78%
Record 1-0
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Record 1-0
Game clock
KickoffTuesday, November 10 at 7:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
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Bryant Bulldogs at Providence Friars win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Bryant Bulldogs vs Providence Friars live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Bryant Bulldogs vs Providence Friars team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatBRYPROV
ScoreBRY–PROV–
Average win probabilityBRY–PROV–
Longest scoring runBRY–PROV–
Time leadingBRY–PROV–

Bryant Bulldogs vs Providence Friars odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 9:25 PM ET
Bulldogs22%
Win chance
Friars78%
SpreadPROV −9.5
Total145.5
Moneyline+348away / −348homeaway / home
Line movementPROV win chance, 40 stored lines
+13 pts for PROV since Oct 29
87%60%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: PROV 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: PROV 81%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: PROV 81%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: PROV 81%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: PROV 78%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: PROV 78%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: PROV 78%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: PROV 78%Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET: PROV 78%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: PROV 78%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: PROV 78%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: PROV 78%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: PROV 79%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: PROV 79%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: PROV 79%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: PROV 79%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: PROV 79%Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET: PROV 79%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: PROV 79%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: PROV 78%Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET: PROV 78%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: PROV 78%Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET: PROV 78%Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET: PROV 78%Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET: PROV 78%Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET: PROV 78%Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET: PROV 78%Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET: PROV 78%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: PROV 78%Nov 3, 2:23 AM ET: PROV 78%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: PROV 78%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: PROV 78%Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET: PROV 78%Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET: PROV 78%Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET: PROV 78%Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET: PROV 78%Nov 4, 12:20 AM ET: PROV 78%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: PROV 78%Nov 4, 9:25 PM ET: PROV 78%Nov 4, 9:25 PM ET: PROV 78%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredPROV winMove
Nov 4, 9:25 PM ET78%0
Nov 4, 9:25 PM ET78%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET78%0
Nov 4, 12:20 AM ET78%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET78%0
Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET78%0
Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET78%0
Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET78%0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET78%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET78%0
Nov 3, 2:23 AM ET78%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET78%0
Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET78%0
Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET78%0
Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET78%−1
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET79%+1
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET78%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET78%−3
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET81%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET81%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET81%+16
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
PROV 1518 · BRY 1416
Home spread
−9.5
Stored
Nov 4, 9:25 PM ET · 2026-11-05 02:25 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

BulldogsFriars
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Friars–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Bryant Bulldogs vs Providence Friars prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Friars a 9.5-point favorite at home, with a 78% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Friars 1518 (143rd of 361), Bulldogs 1416 (297th). The Friars are 1-0; the Bulldogs are 1-0. The Friars have won 2 of their last 5; the Bulldogs 2 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Bryant Bulldogs

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Siena SaintsW 80–75––matchup
at Vermont CatamountsL 57–77––matchup
at New Hampshire WildcatsL 83–88––matchup
vs NJIT HighlandersW 69–52––matchup
at UMBC RetrieversL 58–70––matchup

Providence Friars

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Maine Black BearsW 83–56––matchup
at St. John's Red StormL 72–85––matchup
at Butler BulldogsW 91–81––matchup
at Georgetown HoyasL 79–80––matchup
vs Marquette Golden EaglesL 56–78––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Bryant Bulldogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Providence Friars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Bulldogs1-0 1st · W1
  • Bulldogs rating1416 297th of 361, 1 games
  • Friars1-0 6th · W1
  • Friars rating1518 143rd of 361, 1 games

Bryant Bulldogs 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BRYMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $BRYMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $BRYMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $BRYMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Bryant Bulldogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bulldogs roster, schedule and more

Providence Friars 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $PROVMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $PROVMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $PROVMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $PROVMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Providence Friars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Friars roster, schedule and more

Takes on Bryant Bulldogs at Providence Friars

Sign in to post a take on $BRYMBBPROVMBB261111: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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Model: Providence 78% to win. Projected score Providence 77, Bryant 68; spread Providence −9.5, total 145.5. Bryant Bulldogs at Providence Friars, Tue, Nov 10, 7:00 PM ET.