NCAA Division I men's basketball odds Friday, November 6
Win chance, spread and total for every game. Today's NCAA Division I men's basketball predictions · Standings · every league
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
NCAA Division I men's basketball odds Friday, November 6
58 games| Game | Kick (ET) | Axle win | Spread | Total | Moneyline (away / home) | Movement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutemen at Eagles neutral site | Minutemen 54% | Eagles −0.5 | 142.5 | −116 / +116 | no move | Matchup | |
| Huskies at Cavaliers | Cavaliers 90% | Cavaliers −16 | 148.5 | +931 / −931 | no move | Matchup | |
| Golden Lions at Bears | Bears 81% | Bears −11 | 148 | +437 / −437 | no move | Matchup | |
| Argonauts at Panthers | Panthers 62% | Panthers −4.5 | 145.5 | +161 / −161 | no move | Matchup | |
| Eagles at Ducks | Ducks 69% | Ducks −6.5 | 146 | +227 / −227 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bulldogs at Spartans | Spartans 62% | Spartans −4.5 | 145.5 | +163 / −163 | no move | Matchup | |
| Beacons at Boilermakers | Boilermakers 82% | Boilermakers −11 | 145 | +453 / −453 | no move | Matchup | |
| Penguins at Buckeyes | Buckeyes 75% | Buckeyes −8.5 | 148.5 | +302 / −302 | no move | Matchup | |
| Eagles at Tigers | Tigers 81% | Tigers −11 | 145.5 | +430 / −430 | no move | Matchup | |
| Governors at Owls | Owls 66% | Owls −5.5 | 145.5 | +197 / −197 | no move | Matchup | |
| Terriers at Bears | Bears 55% | Bears −2.5 | 145.5 | +120 / −120 | no move | Matchup | |
| Eagles at Patriots | Patriots 89% | Patriots −14.5 | 144.5 | +771 / −771 | no move | Matchup | |
| Eagles at Musketeers | Musketeers 77% | Musketeers −9 | 145.5 | +327 / −327 | no move | Matchup | |
| Buccaneers at Wolfpack | Wolfpack 72% | Wolfpack −7.5 | 145 | +262 / −262 | no move | Matchup | |
| Eagles at Yellow Jackets | Yellow Jackets 55% | Yellow Jackets −2.5 | 142 | +122 / −122 | no move | Matchup | |
| Crusaders at Wildcats | Wildcats 87% | Wildcats −13.5 | 147 | +678 / −678 | no move | Matchup | |
| Sycamores at Cardinals | Cardinals 63% | Cardinals −5 | 143.5 | +173 / −173 | no move | Matchup | |
| Dukes at Wildcats | Wildcats 77% | Wildcats −9.5 | 146.5 | +341 / −341 | no move | Matchup | |
| Greyhounds at Mountaineers | Mountaineers 73% | Mountaineers −7.5 | 145 | +264 / −264 | no move | Matchup | |
| Chargers at Scarlet Knights | Scarlet Knights 72% | Scarlet Knights −7.5 | 145.5 | +251 / −251 | no move | Matchup | |
| Blue Hose at Bulldogs | Bulldogs 83% | Bulldogs −11.5 | 146.5 | +488 / −488 | no move | Matchup | |
| Billikens at Tigers neutral site | Billikens 58% | Billikens −1 | 148 | −137 / +137 | no move | Matchup | |
| Hatters at Mountaineers | Mountaineers 85% | Mountaineers −12.5 | 145 | +549 / −549 | no move | Matchup | |
| Trojans at Seminoles | Seminoles 72% | Seminoles −7.5 | 147 | +255 / −255 | no move | Matchup | |
| Spartans at Phoenix | Phoenix 67% | Phoenix −6 | 145.5 | +206 / −206 | no move | Matchup | |
| Terriers at Tar Heels | Tar Heels 80% | Tar Heels −10.5 | 146.5 | +408 / −408 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bulldogs at Knights | Knights 55% | Knights −2.5 | 148.5 | +122 / −122 | no move | Matchup | |
| Red Wolves at Crimson Tide | Crimson Tide 79% | Crimson Tide −10 | 147 | +382 / −382 | no move | Matchup | |
| Blue Hens at Badgers | Badgers 87% | Badgers −13.5 | 145.5 | +662 / −662 | no move | Matchup | |
| Owls at Raiders | Raiders 67% | Raiders −6 | 147 | +199 / −199 | no move | Matchup | |
| Colonels at Blazers | Blazers 76% | Blazers −8.5 | 145.5 | +315 / −315 | no move | Matchup | |
| Islanders at Ragin' Cajuns | Ragin' Cajuns 53% | Ragin' Cajuns −2 | 142.5 | +115 / −115 | no move | Matchup | |
| Huskies at Wolverines neutral site | Wolverines 65% | Wolverines −5 | 145 | +182 / −182 | no move | Matchup | |
| Titans at Golden Eagles | Golden Eagles 73% | Golden Eagles −8 | 145.5 | +275 / −275 | no move | Matchup | |
| Delta Devils at Sooners | Sooners 93% | Sooners −17.5 | 145.5 | +1237 / −1237 | no move | Matchup | |
| Norse at Aggies | Aggies 74% | Aggies −8 | 148 | +286 / −286 | no move | Matchup | |
| Colonials at Flames | Flames 66% | Flames −5.5 | 145.5 | +195 / −195 | no move | Matchup | |
| Jaguars at Horned Frogs | Horned Frogs 79% | Horned Frogs −10 | 145.5 | +375 / −375 | no move | Matchup | |
| Seawolves at Wildcats | Wildcats 75% | Wildcats −8.5 | 145.5 | +293 / −293 | no move | Matchup | |
| Tommies at Golden Gophers | Golden Gophers 54% | Golden Gophers −2.5 | 146 | +118 / −118 | no move | Matchup | |
| Tigers at Tigers | Tigers 76% | Tigers −8.5 | 149.5 | +315 / −315 | no move | Matchup | |
| Golden Eagles at Cyclones | Cyclones 83% | Cyclones −11.5 | 145.5 | +476 / −476 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bears at Rebels | Rebels 62% | Rebels −4.5 | 146 | +164 / −164 | no move | Matchup | |
| Panthers at Hawkeyes | Hawkeyes 88% | Hawkeyes −14 | 144.5 | +702 / −702 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bengals at Cowboys | Cowboys 77% | Cowboys −9.5 | 145.5 | +344 / −344 | no move | Matchup | |
| Salukis at Roos | Salukis 65% | Salukis −2.5 | 145.5 | −184 / +184 | no move | Matchup | |
| Matadors at Wildcats | Wildcats 57% | Wildcats −3 | 145.5 | +134 / −134 | no move | Matchup | |
| Vandals at Rams | Rams 73% | Rams −7.5 | 145.5 | +269 / −269 | no move | Matchup | |
| Blue Raiders at Jayhawks | Jayhawks 81% | Jayhawks −10.5 | 145.5 | +420 / −420 | no move | Matchup | |
| Mavericks at Cougars | Cougars 81% | Cougars −10.5 | 145.5 | +413 / −413 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bears at Sun Devils | Sun Devils 66% | Sun Devils −5.5 | 145.5 | +190 / −190 | no move | Matchup | |
| Seahawks at Hurricanes | Hurricanes 84% | Hurricanes −12 | 143.5 | +508 / −508 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lancers at Beavers | Beavers 61% | Beavers −4 | 146 | +156 / −156 | no move | Matchup | |
| Texans at Toreros | Toreros 61% | Toreros −4.5 | 145.5 | +159 / −159 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bison at Dons | Dons 58% | Dons −3.5 | 145.5 | +136 / −136 | no move | Matchup | |
| Golden Grizzlies at Cardinal | Cardinal 73% | Cardinal −7.5 | 145.5 | +267 / −267 | no move | Matchup | |
| Mavericks at Pilots neutral site | Mavericks 56% | Mavericks −0.5 | 145.5 | −127 / +127 | no move | Matchup | |
| Ospreys at Bruins | Bruins 88% | Bruins −14.5 | 145.5 | +757 / −757 | no move | Matchup |
How these lines are made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal inputs
- Ratings from results used in 58 of 58
an Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results - Home advantage used in 58 of 58
the league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results - Schedule used in 37 of 58 · unavailable for 21 (First game of a season for at least one side)
rest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures - Recent form unavailable for 58 (Fewer than three games played this season by at least one side)
average margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External inputs
- Injuries unavailable for 58 (No injury list read before this game)
players listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores - Travel and time zones in the data but not used for 43 · unavailable for 15 (Neutral site; A previous venue or its coordinates is not stored)
distance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · newest read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC - Weather unavailable for 58 (Indoor sport)
forecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
NCAA Division I men's basketball team ratings
The Elo-style ratings the lines are made from, after the latest results. The league mean is 1500.
| # | Team | Rating | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan Wolverines | 1782 | 1 |
| 2 | Duke Blue Devils | 1766 | 1 |
| 3 | Arizona Wildcats | 1723 | 1 |
| 4 | Florida Gators | 1723 | 1 |
| 5 | Houston Cougars | 1703 | 1 |
| 6 | UConn Huskies | 1703 | 1 |
| 7 | St. John's Red Storm | 1702 | 1 |
| 8 | Gonzaga Bulldogs | 1702 | 1 |
| 9 | Illinois Fighting Illini | 1699 | 1 |
| 10 | Michigan State Spartans | 1684 | 1 |
| 11 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 1677 | 1 |
| 12 | Purdue Boilermakers | 1672 | 1 |
Top 12 of 361; every team's rating is on its page.
NCAA Division I men's basketball model record
Over 17026 NCAA Division I men's basketball games in 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, scored before each result was known: the favored side won 72% of the time, Brier score 0.186, mean spread error 9.723 points, mean total error 13.897. Calibration and method.
Bandwagon's model lines for NCAA Division I men's basketball games Friday, November 6: win probability, spread, total and moneyline for each game, movement since the last line, and the team ratings behind them. Not a sportsbook.