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NCAA Men's Basketball · · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

South Carolina State Bulldogs vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans prediction, odds and picks, November 6, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

South Carolina State Bulldogs or South Carolina Upstate Spartans: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 38–62Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: UPST 62%
Game clock
KickoffFriday, November 6 at 6:30 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
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South Carolina State Bulldogs at South Carolina Upstate Spartans win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

South Carolina State Bulldogs vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

South Carolina State Bulldogs vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatSCSTUPST
ScoreSCST–UPST–
Average win probabilitySCST–UPST–
Longest scoring runSCST–UPST–
Time leadingSCST–UPST–

South Carolina State Bulldogs vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 11 h ago
Bulldogs38%
Win chance
Spartans62%
SpreadUPST −4.5
Total145.5
Moneyline+163away / −163homeaway / home
Line movementUPST win chance, 24 stored lines
−3 pts for UPST since Oct 29
71%56%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: UPST 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: UPST 63%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: UPST 63%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: UPST 63%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: UPST 64%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: UPST 64%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: UPST 64%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: UPST 62%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: UPST 62%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: UPST 62%Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET: UPST 62%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: UPST 62%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: UPST 62%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: UPST 62%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: UPST 62%Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET: UPST 62%Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET: UPST 62%Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET: UPST 62%Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET: UPST 62%Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET: UPST 62%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: UPST 62%Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET: UPST 62%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: UPST 62%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: UPST 62%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredUPST winMove
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET62%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET62%0
Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET62%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET62%0
Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET62%0
Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET62%0
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET62%0
Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET62%0
Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET62%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET62%0
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET62%0
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET62%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET62%0
Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET62%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET62%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET62%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET62%−2
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET64%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET64%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET64%+1
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET63%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET63%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET63%−2
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
UPST 1392 · SCST 1417
Home spread
−4.5
Stored
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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BulldogsSpartans
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Spartans–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

South Carolina State Bulldogs vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Spartans a 4.5-point favorite at home, with a 62% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Spartans 1392 (328th of 361), Bulldogs 1417 (293rd). The Spartans are 0-0; the Bulldogs are 1-0. The Spartans have won 2 of their last 5; the Bulldogs 3 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Spartans won 2, the Bulldogs 1.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

South Carolina State Bulldogs

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Howard BisonL 61–78––matchup
at Norfolk State SpartansW 88–82––matchup
at North Carolina Central EaglesW 80–64––matchup
at Delaware State HornetsW 61–59––matchup
at Maryland Eastern Shore HawksL 57–69––matchup

South Carolina Upstate Spartans

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at East Carolina PiratesL 70–83––matchup
vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' BulldogsL 64–65––matchup
vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' BulldogsW 71–61––matchup
at Radford HighlandersL 59–71––matchup
vs Presbyterian Blue HoseW 76–74––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
South Carolina Upstate Spartans at South Carolina State Bulldogs78–72––matchup
South Carolina State Bulldogs at South Carolina Upstate Spartans85–70––matchup
South Carolina State Bulldogs at South Carolina Upstate Spartans84–89––matchup

Injuries

South Carolina State Bulldogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

South Carolina Upstate Spartans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Bulldogs1-0 1st · W1
  • Bulldogs rating1417 293rd of 361, 0 games
  • Spartans0-0 8th · -
  • Spartans rating1392 328th of 361, 1 games

South Carolina State Bulldogs 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SCSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SCSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SCSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $SCSTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Carolina State Bulldogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bulldogs roster, schedule and more

South Carolina Upstate Spartans 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UPSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UPSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UPSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $UPSTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Carolina Upstate Spartans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Spartans roster, schedule and more

Takes on South Carolina State Bulldogs at South Carolina Upstate Spartans

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Model: South Carolina Upstate 62% to win. Projected score South Carolina Upstate 75, South Carolina State 71; spread South Carolina Upstate −4.5, total 145.5. South Carolina State Bulldogs at South Carolina Upstate Spartans, Fri, Nov 6, 6:30 PM ET.