UConn Huskies vs Michigan Wolverines prediction, odds and picks, November 6, 2026
- Projected winnerMichigan 65%
- Projected scoreMichigan 75, UConn 70
- Model spreadMichigan −5 total 145
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
UConn Huskies or Michigan Wolverines: the bandwagon
Axle 35–65Market –
UConn Huskies at Michigan Wolverines win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
UConn Huskies vs Michigan Wolverines live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
UConn Huskies vs Michigan Wolverines team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | CONN | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CONN– | MICH– |
| Average win probability | CONN– | MICH– |
| Longest scoring run | CONN– | MICH– |
| Time leading | CONN– | MICH– |
UConn Huskies vs Michigan Wolverines odds
Every stored line
| Stored | MICH win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 9:25 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:25 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 65% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET | 64% | −1 |
| Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 65% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:58 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:25 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 64% | +4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 60% | +10 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 50% | — |
- Ratings
- MICH 1782 · CONN 1703
- Home spread
- −5 · neutral site, no home advantage
- Stored
- Nov 4, 9:25 PM ET · 2026-11-05 02:25 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
UConn Huskies vs Michigan Wolverines prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Wolverines a 5-point favorite, with a 65% chance to win. The model total is 145. Ratings: Wolverines 1782 (1st of 361), Huskies 1703 (6th). The Wolverines are 1-0; the Huskies are 1-0. The Wolverines have won 5 of their last 5; the Huskies 4 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Wolverines won 1, the Huskies 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
UConn Huskies
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | W 86–46 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Michigan Wolverines | L 63–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Illinois Fighting Illini | W 71–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Duke Blue Devils | W 73–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Michigan State Spartans | W 67–63 | – | – | matchup |
Michigan Wolverines
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies | W 84–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UConn Huskies | W 69–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arizona Wildcats | W 91–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tennessee Volunteers | W 95–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Alabama Crimson Tide | W 90–77 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UConn Huskies at Michigan Wolverines | 63–69 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
UConn Huskies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Michigan Wolverines: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Huskies1-0 9th · W1
- Huskies rating1703 6th of 361, 1 games
- Wolverines1-0 5th · W1
- Wolverines rating1782 1st of 361, 1 games
UConn Huskies 1-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $CONNMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UConn Huskies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $MICHMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Michigan Wolverines bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on UConn Huskies at Michigan Wolverines
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Model: Michigan 65% to win. Projected score Michigan 75, UConn 70; spread Michigan −5, total 145. UConn Huskies at Michigan Wolverines, Fri, Nov 6, 8:00 PM ET.