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NCAA Men's Basketball · · PeoplesBank Arena · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs UConn Huskies: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs or UConn Huskies: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Huskies▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Axle 5–95Market –

FinalPregame: CONN 95%Baseline: CONN 98.5% (+4.0)Big swing: 5.2 ptsClutch window: none
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
Record 0-1
46+2286+43
UConn Huskies
Record 1-0
Score by period
Team12T
GWEB242246
CONN434386
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs at UConn Huskies win probability

Bandwagon's model
Last update: 2nd halfFetched at
Win probability for CONN: 39 points, 95% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00CONN 100%GWEB 0%
Win probability for CONN: 39 points, 95% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00CONN 100%GWEB 0%

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

MomentumStable+0.0 points for CONN over the last 5:00
Big swing5.2 ptstoward CONN at 20:00 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final half
BaselineCONN 98.5%game average, +4.0 points from the pregame 94.6%

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs UConn Huskies live stats

Team totals read from the league's public game summary
Live team statistics
StatGWEBCONN
Field goalsGWEB12/47CONN31/60
3-pointersGWEB6/19CONN9/29
Free throwsGWEB16/26CONN15/24
ReboundsGWEB28CONN46
AssistsGWEB5CONN20
TurnoversGWEB17CONN10
StealsGWEB5CONN10
BlocksGWEB3CONN6
Points in the paintGWEB10CONN42
Fast-break pointsGWEB3CONN21
FoulsGWEB19CONN17
Largest leadGWEB0CONN41

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs UConn Huskies team breakdown

From the stored in-game series
Team breakdown
StatGWEBCONN
ScoreGWEB46CONN86
Average win probabilityGWEB1%CONN99%
Longest scoring runGWEB+4CONN+8
Time leadingGWEB0:00CONN20:00

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs UConn Huskies odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET
Runnin' Bulldogs5%
Win chance
Huskies95%
SpreadCONN −20closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+1760away / −1760homeaway / home
Line movementCONN win chance, 39 stored lines
+30 pts for CONN between Oct 29 and Nov 2
100%60%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: CONN 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: CONN 97%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: CONN 97%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: CONN 97%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: CONN 95%Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 2:05 AM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 10:46 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET: CONN 95%Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET: CONN 95%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
StoredCONN winMove
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 10:46 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET95%0
Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET95%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET95%0
Nov 2, 2:05 AM ET95%0
Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET95%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET95%−2
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET97%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET97%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET97%+32
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
CONN 1699 · GWEB 1325
Home spread
−20
Stored
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET · 2026-11-03 04:04 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Result: Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs 46, UConn Huskies 86. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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Runnin' BulldogsHuskies
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Runnin' BulldogsHuskies
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Huskies–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs UConn Huskies prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Huskies a 20-point favorite at home, with a 95% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Huskies 1703 (6th of 361), Runnin' Bulldogs 1322 (356th). The Huskies are 1-0; the Runnin' Bulldogs are 0-1. The Huskies have won 4 of their last 5; the Runnin' Bulldogs 1 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at UConn HuskiesL 46–86––matchup
at High Point PanthersL 59–81––matchup
at South Carolina Upstate SpartansW 65–64––matchup
at South Carolina Upstate SpartansL 61–71––matchup
vs UNC Asheville BulldogsL 71–77––matchup

UConn Huskies

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' BulldogsW 86–46––matchup
at Michigan WolverinesL 63–69––matchup
vs Illinois Fighting IlliniW 71–62––matchup
at Duke Blue DevilsW 73–72––matchup
vs Michigan State SpartansW 67–63––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

UConn Huskies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Runnin' Bulldogs0-1 4th · L1
  • Runnin' Bulldogs rating1322 356th of 361, 1 games
  • Huskies1-0 9th · W1
  • Huskies rating1703 6th of 361, 1 games

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak L1

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Runnin' Bulldogs roster, schedule and more

UConn Huskies 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak W1

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Huskies roster, schedule and more

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