Michigan leads Oakland 47-36 at the half, an 11-point margin, and the Wolverines' model win probability sits at 91 percent for the home side. No crowd picks are in yet, so there is no crowd read to compare against the model.
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Crisler Center · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line
Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs Michigan Wolverines: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreOakland 68, Michigan 84 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerMichigan 91%
- Pregame Projected scoreMichigan 81, Oakland 65
- Model spreadMichigan −16 total 145.5
- Margin16 projected 16.1
- Total152 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Oakland Golden Grizzlies or Michigan Wolverines: the bandwagon
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Axle 9–91Market –
FinalPregame: MICH 91%Baseline: MICH 95.0% (+4.2)Big swing: 10.6 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| OAK | 36 | 32 | 68 |
| MICH | 47 | 37 | 84 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Oakland Golden Grizzlies at Michigan Wolverines win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for MICH over the last 5:00
Big swing10.6 ptstoward MICH at 9:23 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final half
BaselineMICH 95.0%game average, +4.2 points from the pregame 90.8%
Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs Michigan Wolverines live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | OAK | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | OAK20/63 | MICH31/71 |
| 3-pointers | OAK6/26 | MICH7/34 |
| Free throws | OAK22/30 | MICH15/20 |
| Rebounds | OAK44 | MICH42 |
| Assists | OAK5 | MICH17 |
| Turnovers | OAK15 | MICH9 |
| Steals | OAK5 | MICH10 |
| Blocks | OAK1 | MICH6 |
| Points in the paint | OAK24 | MICH48 |
| Fast-break points | OAK0 | MICH19 |
| Fouls | OAK19 | MICH24 |
| Largest lead | OAK5 | MICH16 |
Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs Michigan Wolverines team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | OAK | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Score | OAK68 | MICH84 |
| Average win probability | OAK5% | MICH95% |
| Longest scoring run | OAK+8 | MICH+9 |
| Time leading | OAK5:59 | MICH33:42 |
Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs Michigan Wolverines odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET
Golden Grizzlies9%
Win chanceWolverines91%
SpreadMICH −16closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+990away / −990homeaway / home
Line movementMICH win chance, 11 stored lines
+26 pts for MICH between Oct 29 and Nov 2
100%60%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | MICH win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:25 AM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 91% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 91% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 94% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 94% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 94% | +29 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- MICH 1779 · OAK 1500
- Home spread
- −16
- Stored
- Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET · 2026-11-03 00:41 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Oakland Golden Grizzlies 68, Michigan Wolverines 84. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
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Golden GrizzliesWolverines
Neutrals only–
Golden GrizzliesWolverines
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Wolverines–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs Michigan Wolverines prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Wolverines a 16-point favorite at home, with a 91% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Wolverines 1782 (1st of 361), Golden Grizzlies 1496 (183rd). The Wolverines are 0-0; the Golden Grizzlies are 0-0. The Wolverines have won 5 of their last 5; the Golden Grizzlies 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Wolverines won 1, the Golden Grizzlies 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Oakland Golden Grizzlies
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Michigan Wolverines | L 68–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northern Kentucky Norse | L 84–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Detroit Mercy Titans | L 89–95 | – | – | matchup | |
| at IU Indianapolis Jaguars | W 86–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Milwaukee Panthers | W 81–70 | – | – | matchup |
Michigan Wolverines
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies | W 84–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UConn Huskies | W 69–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arizona Wildcats | W 91–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tennessee Volunteers | W 95–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Alabama Crimson Tide | W 90–77 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Golden Grizzlies at Michigan Wolverines | 78–121 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Oakland Golden Grizzlies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Michigan Wolverines: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Golden Grizzlies0-0 8th · -
- Golden Grizzlies rating1496 183rd of 361, 1 games
- Wolverines0-0 5th · -
- Wolverines rating1782 1st of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak -
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $OAKMBB
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No stances yet today on $OAKMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Oakland Golden Grizzlies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak -
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MICHMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MICHMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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No stances yet today on $MICHMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Michigan Wolverines bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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