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NCAA Men's Basketball · · John Paul Jones Arena · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Northeastern Huskies vs Virginia Cavaliers prediction, odds and picks, November 6, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Northeastern Huskies or Virginia Cavaliers: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 10–90Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: UVA 90%
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Record 1-0
Game clock
KickoffFriday, November 6 at 5:00 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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Northeastern Huskies at Virginia Cavaliers win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Northeastern Huskies vs Virginia Cavaliers live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Northeastern Huskies vs Virginia Cavaliers team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatNEUVA
ScoreNE–UVA–
Average win probabilityNE–UVA–
Longest scoring runNE–UVA–
Time leadingNE–UVA–

Northeastern Huskies vs Virginia Cavaliers odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 12:11 AM ET
Huskies10%
Win chance
Cavaliers90%
SpreadUVA −16
Total148.5
Moneyline+934away / −934homeaway / home
Line movementUVA win chance, 49 stored lines
+25 pts for UVA since Oct 29
99%60%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: UVA 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: UVA 93%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: UVA 93%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: UVA 93%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: UVA 89%Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET: UVA 89%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: UVA 89%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: UVA 89%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: UVA 89%Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET: UVA 89%Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET: UVA 89%Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET: UVA 89%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: UVA 89%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: UVA 89%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: UVA 90%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: UVA 90%Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET: UVA 90%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: UVA 90%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: UVA 90%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: UVA 90%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: UVA 90%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: UVA 90%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: UVA 90%Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET: UVA 90%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: UVA 90%Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET: UVA 90%Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET: UVA 90%Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET: UVA 90%Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET: UVA 90%Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET: UVA 90%Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET: UVA 90%Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET: UVA 90%Nov 3, 12:15 AM ET: UVA 90%Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET: UVA 90%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: UVA 90%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: UVA 90%Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET: UVA 90%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: UVA 90%Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET: UVA 90%Nov 3, 9:48 PM ET: UVA 90%Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET: UVA 90%Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET: UVA 90%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: UVA 90%Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET: UVA 90%Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET: UVA 90%Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET: UVA 90%Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET: UVA 90%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredUVA winMove
Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET90%0
Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET90%0
Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET90%0
Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET90%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET90%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET90%0
Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET90%0
Nov 3, 9:48 PM ET90%0
Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET90%0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET90%0
Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET90%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET90%0
Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET90%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET90%0
Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET90%0
Nov 3, 12:15 AM ET90%0
Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET90%0
Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET90%0
Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET90%0
Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET90%0
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET90%0
Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET90%0
Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET90%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET90%0
Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET90%0
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET90%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET90%0
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET90%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET90%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET90%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET90%0
Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET90%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET90%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET90%+1
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET89%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET89%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET89%0
Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET89%0
Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET89%0
Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET89%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET89%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET89%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET89%0
Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET89%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET89%−4
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET93%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET93%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET93%+28
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
UVA 1661 · NE 1395
Home spread
−16
Stored
Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET · 2026-11-05 05:11 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

HuskiesCavaliers
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Cavaliers–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Northeastern Huskies vs Virginia Cavaliers prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Cavaliers a 16-point favorite at home, with a 90% chance to win. The model total is 148.5. Ratings: Cavaliers 1661 (16th of 361), Huskies 1395 (326th). The Cavaliers are 1-0; the Huskies are 0-1. The Cavaliers have won 3 of their last 5; the Huskies 1 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Cavaliers won 1, the Huskies 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Northeastern Huskies

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Boston University TerriersL 85–93––matchup
at Drexel DragonsL 77–84––matchup
at North Carolina A&T AggiesW 88–72––matchup
vs Monmouth HawksL 83–89––matchup
at Hampton PiratesL 65–76––matchup

Virginia Cavaliers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Drexel DragonsW 89–60––matchup
vs Tennessee VolunteersL 72–79––matchup
vs Wright State RaidersW 82–73––matchup
at Duke Blue DevilsL 70–74––matchup
vs Miami HurricanesW 84–62––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Northeastern Huskies at Virginia Cavaliers54–56––matchup

Injuries

Northeastern Huskies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Virginia Cavaliers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Huskies0-1 11th · L1
  • Huskies rating1395 326th of 361, 1 games
  • Cavaliers1-0 15th · W1
  • Cavaliers rating1661 16th of 361, 1 games

Northeastern Huskies 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 11th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $NEMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $NEMBB
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $NEMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $NEMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Northeastern Huskies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Huskies roster, schedule and more

Virginia Cavaliers 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 15th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UVAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UVAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UVAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $UVAMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Virginia Cavaliers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Cavaliers roster, schedule and more

Takes on Northeastern Huskies at Virginia Cavaliers

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Model: Virginia 90% to win. Projected score Virginia 82, Northeastern 66; spread Virginia −16, total 148.5. Northeastern Huskies at Virginia Cavaliers, Fri, Nov 6, 5:00 PM ET.