Wofford Terriers vs North Carolina Tar Heels prediction, odds and picks, November 6, 2026
- Projected winnerNorth Carolina 80%
- Projected scoreNorth Carolina 78, Wofford 68
- Model spreadNorth Carolina −10.5 total 146.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Wofford Terriers or North Carolina Tar Heels: the bandwagon
Axle 20–80Market –
Wofford Terriers at North Carolina Tar Heels win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Wofford Terriers vs North Carolina Tar Heels live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Wofford Terriers vs North Carolina Tar Heels team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | WOF | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| Score | WOF– | UNC– |
| Average win probability | WOF– | UNC– |
| Longest scoring run | WOF– | UNC– |
| Time leading | WOF– | UNC– |
Wofford Terriers vs North Carolina Tar Heels odds
Every stored line
| Stored | UNC win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:20 AM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET | 80% | +1 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:58 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 79% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 82% | +17 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- UNC 1618 · WOF 1489
- Home spread
- −10.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Wofford Terriers vs North Carolina Tar Heels prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Tar Heels a 10.5-point favorite at home, with a 80% chance to win. The model total is 146.5. Ratings: Tar Heels 1618 (36th of 361), Terriers 1489 (195th). The Tar Heels are 1-0; the Terriers are 0-1. The Tar Heels have won 2 of their last 5; the Terriers 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Wofford Terriers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Tennessee Volunteers | L 59–90 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UNC Greensboro Spartans | L 72–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs The Citadel Bulldogs | L 90–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| at East Tennessee State Buccaneers | W 72–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Furman Paladins | L 67–76 | – | – | matchup |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Western Carolina Catamounts | W 80–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs VCU Rams | L 78–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Clemson Tigers | L 79–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Duke Blue Devils | L 61–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Clemson Tigers | W 67–63 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Wofford Terriers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
North Carolina Tar Heels: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Terriers0-1 11th · L1
- Terriers rating1489 195th of 361, 1 games
- Tar Heels1-0 9th · W1
- Tar Heels rating1618 36th of 361, 1 games
Wofford Terriers 0-1
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 11th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $WOFMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Wofford Terriers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $UNCMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the North Carolina Tar Heels bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Wofford Terriers at North Carolina Tar Heels
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Model: North Carolina 80% to win. Projected score North Carolina 78, Wofford 68; spread North Carolina −10.5, total 146.5. Wofford Terriers at North Carolina Tar Heels, Fri, Nov 6, 7:00 PM ET.