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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Cameron Indoor Stadium · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Duke Blue Devils: final score and how the prediction did, March 7, 2026

North Carolina Tar Heels or Duke Blue Devils: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Final
6176
Record 1-0
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

North Carolina Tar Heels at Duke Blue Devils win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

Bandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Needs two stored points.
Big swing–Needs two stored points.
Clutch window–Needs two stored points.
Baseline–Needs two stored points.

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Duke Blue Devils live stats

From the league's public game summary

No box score stored for this game.

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Duke Blue Devils team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatUNCDUKE
ScoreUNC61DUKE76
Average win probabilityUNC–DUKE–
Longest scoring runUNC–DUKE–
Time leadingUNC–DUKE–

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Duke Blue Devils odds

Bandwagon model
Spread—
Total—
Moneyline—

No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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Tar HeelsBlue Devils
Neutrals only–
Tar HeelsBlue Devils
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Blue Devils–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Duke Blue Devils prediction

Ratings: Blue Devils 1766 (2nd of 361), Tar Heels 1618 (36th). The Blue Devils are 1-0; the Tar Heels are 1-0. The Blue Devils have won 4 of their last 5; the Tar Heels 2 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Blue Devils won 3, the Tar Heels 3.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

North Carolina Tar Heels

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Western Carolina CatamountsW 80–72––matchup
vs VCU RamsL 78–82––matchup
vs Clemson TigersL 79–80––matchup
at Duke Blue DevilsL 61–76––matchup
vs Clemson TigersW 67–63––matchup

Duke Blue Devils

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Army Black KnightsW 84–50––matchup
vs UConn HuskiesL 72–73––matchup
vs St. John's Red StormW 80–75––matchup
vs TCU Horned FrogsW 81–58––matchup
vs Siena SaintsW 71–65––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Duke Blue Devils at North Carolina Tar Heels68–71––matchup
North Carolina Tar Heels at Duke Blue Devils71–74––matchup
Duke Blue Devils at North Carolina Tar Heels82–69––matchup
North Carolina Tar Heels at Duke Blue Devils70–87––matchup
North Carolina Tar Heels at Duke Blue Devils84–79––matchup
Duke Blue Devils at North Carolina Tar Heels84–93––matchup

Injuries

North Carolina Tar Heels: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Duke Blue Devils: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Tar Heels1-0 9th · W1
  • Tar Heels rating1618 36th of 361, 1 games
  • Blue Devils1-0 4th · W1
  • Blue Devils rating1766 2nd of 361, 1 games

North Carolina Tar Heels 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UNCMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UNCMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UNCMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $UNCMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the North Carolina Tar Heels bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Tar Heels roster, schedule and more

Duke Blue Devils 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $DUKEMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $DUKEMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $DUKEMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $DUKEMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Duke Blue Devils bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Blue Devils roster, schedule and more

Takes on North Carolina Tar Heels at Duke Blue Devils

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