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Axle 2.078% straight up465 games
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Thompson-Boling Arena at Food City Center · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Wofford Terriers vs Tennessee Volunteers: final score and how the prediction did, November 3, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Wofford Terriers or Tennessee Volunteers: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 17–83Market –

FinalPregame: TENN 83%Baseline: TENN 91.0% (+7.9)Big swing: 12.4 ptsClutch window: 1:31
Record 0-1
59+2890+56
Record 1-0
Score by period
Team12T
WOF312859
TENN345690
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

Wofford Terriers at Tennessee Volunteers win probability

Bandwagon's model
Last update: 2nd halfFetched at
Win probability for TENN: 78 points, 83% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00TENN 100%WOF 0%
Win probability for TENN: 78 points, 83% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00TENN 100%WOF 0%

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

MomentumStable+0.0 points for TENN over the last 5:00
Big swing12.4 ptstoward WOF at 17:09 of game time
Clutch window1:31within 5 points in the final half
BaselineTENN 91.0%game average, +7.9 points from the pregame 83.1%

Wofford Terriers vs Tennessee Volunteers live stats

Team totals read from the league's public game summary
Live team statistics
StatWOFTENN
Field goalsWOF19/62TENN34/65
3-pointersWOF6/27TENN7/23
Free throwsWOF15/23TENN15/16
ReboundsWOF34TENN42
AssistsWOF12TENN17
TurnoversWOF12TENN10
StealsWOF5TENN7
BlocksWOF3TENN3
Points in the paintWOF24TENN52
Fast-break pointsWOF6TENN27
FoulsWOF18TENN18
Largest leadWOF3TENN32

Wofford Terriers vs Tennessee Volunteers team breakdown

From the stored in-game series
Team breakdown
StatWOFTENN
ScoreWOF59TENN90
Average win probabilityWOF9%TENN91%
Longest scoring runWOF+6TENN+10
Time leadingWOF1:49TENN31:33

Wofford Terriers vs Tennessee Volunteers odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET
Terriers17%
Win chance
Volunteers83%
SpreadTENN −11.5closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+493away / −493homeaway / home
Line movementTENN win chance, 33 stored lines
+18 pts for TENN between Oct 29 and Nov 3
93%60%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: TENN 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: TENN 87%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: TENN 87%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: TENN 87%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: TENN 83%Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET: TENN 83%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: TENN 83%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: TENN 83%Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET: TENN 83%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: TENN 83%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: TENN 83%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: TENN 83%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: TENN 83%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: TENN 83%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: TENN 83%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: TENN 83%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: TENN 83%Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET: TENN 83%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: TENN 83%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: TENN 83%Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET: TENN 83%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: TENN 83%Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET: TENN 83%Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET: TENN 83%Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET: TENN 83%Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET: TENN 83%Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET: TENN 83%Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET: TENN 83%Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET: TENN 83%Nov 3, 12:24 AM ET: TENN 83%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: TENN 83%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: TENN 83%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: TENN 83%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 3
Every stored line
StoredTENN winMove
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET83%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET83%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET83%0
Nov 3, 12:24 AM ET83%0
Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET83%0
Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET83%0
Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET83%0
Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET83%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET83%−4
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET87%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET87%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET87%+22
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
TENN 1659 · WOF 1499
Home spread
−11.5
Stored
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-03 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Result: Wofford Terriers 59, Tennessee Volunteers 90. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

TerriersVolunteers
Neutrals only–
TerriersVolunteers
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Volunteers–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Wofford Terriers vs Tennessee Volunteers prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Volunteers a 11.5-point favorite at home, with a 83% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Volunteers 1668 (15th of 361), Terriers 1489 (195th). The Volunteers are 1-0; the Terriers are 0-1. The Volunteers have won 4 of their last 5; the Terriers 1 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Volunteers won 2, the Terriers 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Wofford Terriers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Tennessee VolunteersL 59–90––matchup
vs UNC Greensboro SpartansL 72–75––matchup
vs The Citadel BulldogsL 90–93––matchup
at East Tennessee State BuccaneersW 72–69––matchup
vs Furman PaladinsL 67–76––matchup

Tennessee Volunteers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Wofford TerriersW 90–59––matchup
at Michigan WolverinesL 62–95––matchup
at Iowa State CyclonesW 76–62––matchup
at Virginia CavaliersW 79–72––matchup
vs Miami (OH) RedHawksW 78–56––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Wofford Terriers at Tennessee Volunteers62–77––matchup
Wofford Terriers at Tennessee Volunteers61–82––matchup

Injuries

Wofford Terriers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Tennessee Volunteers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Terriers0-1 11th · L1
  • Terriers rating1489 195th of 361, 1 games
  • Volunteers1-0 11th · W1
  • Volunteers rating1668 15th of 361, 1 games

Wofford Terriers 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 11th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $WOFMBB
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No stances yet today on $WOFMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Wofford Terriers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Terriers roster, schedule and more

Tennessee Volunteers 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 11th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $TENNMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $TENNMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $TENNMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $TENNMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Tennessee Volunteers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Volunteers roster, schedule and more

Takes on Wofford Terriers at Tennessee Volunteers

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