Youngstown State Penguins vs Ohio State Buckeyes prediction, odds and picks, November 6, 2026
- Projected winnerOhio State 75%
- Projected scoreOhio State 79, Youngstown State 70
- Model spreadOhio State −8.5 total 148.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Youngstown State Penguins or Ohio State Buckeyes: the bandwagon
Axle 25–75Market –
Youngstown State Penguins at Ohio State Buckeyes win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Youngstown State Penguins vs Ohio State Buckeyes live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Youngstown State Penguins vs Ohio State Buckeyes team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | YSU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | YSU– | OSU– |
| Average win probability | YSU– | OSU– |
| Longest scoring run | YSU– | OSU– |
| Time leading | YSU– | OSU– |
Youngstown State Penguins vs Ohio State Buckeyes odds
Every stored line
| Stored | OSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:08 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:00 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 75% | −2 |
| Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 77% | −2 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 79% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 83% | +18 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- OSU 1584 · YSU 1506
- Home spread
- −8.5
- Stored
- Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET · 2026-11-05 10:04 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Youngstown State Penguins vs Ohio State Buckeyes prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Buckeyes a 8.5-point favorite at home, with a 75% chance to win. The model total is 148.5. Ratings: Buckeyes 1584 (62nd of 361), Penguins 1506 (168th). The Buckeyes are 0-1; the Penguins are 1-0. The Buckeyes have won 2 of their last 5; the Penguins 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Buckeyes won 1, the Penguins 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Youngstown State Penguins
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at St. Bonaventure Bonnies | W 79–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Robert Morris Colonials | L 53–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Green Bay Phoenix | L 63–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Milwaukee Panthers | L 65–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northern Kentucky Norse | W 64–58 | – | – | matchup |
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at BYU Cougars | L 83–94 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs TCU Horned Frogs | L 64–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Michigan Wolverines | L 67–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Iowa Hawkeyes | W 72–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Indiana Hoosiers | W 91–78 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Youngstown State Penguins at Ohio State Buckeyes | 47–81 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Youngstown State Penguins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Ohio State Buckeyes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Penguins1-0 5th · W1
- Penguins rating1506 168th of 361, 1 games
- Buckeyes0-1 16th · L1
- Buckeyes rating1584 62nd of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $YSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Youngstown State Penguins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 16th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $OSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Ohio State Buckeyes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Youngstown State Penguins at Ohio State Buckeyes
Sign in to post a take on $YSUMBBOSUMBB261106: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
Model: Ohio State 75% to win. Projected score Ohio State 79, Youngstown State 70; spread Ohio State −8.5, total 148.5. Youngstown State Penguins at Ohio State Buckeyes, Fri, Nov 6, 6:30 PM ET.