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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Marriott Center · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Ohio State Buckeyes vs BYU Cougars: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Ohio State Buckeyes or BYU Cougars: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 49–51Market –

FinalPregame: BYU 52%Baseline: BYU 59.3% (+7.7)Big swing: 26.4 ptsClutch window: 10:17
Record 0-0
83+4694+60
Record 0-0
Score by period
Team12T
OSU374683
BYU346094
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

Ohio State Buckeyes at BYU Cougars win probability

Bandwagon's model
Last update: 2nd halfFetched at
Win probability for BYU: 52 points, 52% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00BYU 100%OSU 0%
Win probability for BYU: 52 points, 52% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00BYU 100%OSU 0%

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

MomentumSwinging to BYU+3.2 points for BYU over the last 5:00
Big swing26.4 ptstoward BYU at 20:50 of game time
Clutch window10:17within 5 points in the final half
BaselineBYU 59.3%game average, +7.7 points from the pregame 51.5%

Ohio State Buckeyes vs BYU Cougars live stats

Team totals read from the league's public game summary
Live team statistics
StatOSUBYU
Field goalsOSU28/57BYU31/57
3-pointersOSU9/28BYU11/24
Free throwsOSU18/19BYU21/27
ReboundsOSU31BYU30
AssistsOSU18BYU12
TurnoversOSU12BYU8
StealsOSU6BYU3
BlocksOSU3BYU0
Points in the paintOSU38BYU36
Fast-break pointsOSU8BYU14
FoulsOSU23BYU19
Largest leadOSU11BYU13

Ohio State Buckeyes vs BYU Cougars team breakdown

From the stored in-game series
Team breakdown
StatOSUBYU
ScoreOSU83BYU94
Average win probabilityOSU41%BYU59%
Longest scoring runOSU+6BYU+8
Time leadingOSU3:59BYU15:59

Ohio State Buckeyes vs BYU Cougars odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET
Buckeyes49%
Win chance
Cougars51%
SpreadBYU −1.5closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+106away / −106homeaway / home
Line movementBYU win chance, 26 stored lines
+1 pts for BYU between Oct 29 and Nov 2
57%37%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: BYU 50%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: BYU 43%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: BYU 43%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: BYU 43%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: BYU 51%Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET: BYU 51%Nov 2, 2:05 AM ET: BYU 51%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: BYU 51%Nov 2, 5:25 AM ET: BYU 51%Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET: BYU 52%Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET: BYU 51%Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET: BYU 51%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: BYU 52%Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET: BYU 52%Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET: BYU 52%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: BYU 52%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: BYU 52%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: BYU 52%Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET: BYU 51%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: BYU 51%Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET: BYU 51%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: BYU 51%Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET: BYU 51%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: BYU 51%Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET: BYU 51%Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET: BYU 51%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
StoredBYU winMove
Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET51%−1
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET52%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET52%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET52%0
Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET52%0
Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET52%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET52%+1
Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET51%−1
Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET52%+1
Nov 2, 5:25 AM ET51%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET51%0
Nov 2, 2:05 AM ET51%0
Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET51%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET51%+8
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET43%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET43%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET43%−7
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET50%—
Ratings
BYU 1592 · OSU 1603
Home spread
−1.5 · neutral site, no home advantage
Stored
Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET · 2026-11-03 04:09 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Result: Ohio State Buckeyes 83, BYU Cougars 94. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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BuckeyesCougars
Neutrals only–
BuckeyesCougars
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Cougars–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Ohio State Buckeyes vs BYU Cougars prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Cougars a 1.5-point favorite, with a 51% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Cougars 1611 (41st of 361), Buckeyes 1584 (62nd). The Cougars are 0-0; the Buckeyes are 0-0. The Cougars have won 3 of their last 5; the Buckeyes 2 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Ohio State Buckeyes

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at BYU CougarsL 83–94––matchup
vs TCU Horned FrogsL 64–66––matchup
at Michigan WolverinesL 67–71––matchup
vs Iowa HawkeyesW 72–69––matchup
vs Indiana HoosiersW 91–78––matchup

BYU Cougars

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Ohio State BuckeyesW 94–83––matchup
vs Texas LonghornsL 71–79––matchup
at Houston CougarsL 66–73––matchup
at West Virginia MountaineersW 68–48––matchup
vs Kansas State WildcatsW 105–91––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Ohio State Buckeyes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

BYU Cougars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Buckeyes0-0 10th · -
  • Buckeyes rating1584 62nd of 361, 1 games
  • Cougars0-0 4th · -
  • Cougars rating1611 41st of 361, 1 games

Ohio State Buckeyes 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 10th · streak -

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No stances yet today on $OSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Ohio State Buckeyes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Buckeyes roster, schedule and more

BYU Cougars 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BYUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $BYUMBB
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $BYUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $BYUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the BYU Cougars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Cougars roster, schedule and more

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