Youngstown State Penguins vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreYoungstown State 79, St. Bonaventure 71 the projected winner lost
- Pregame Projected winnerSt. Bonaventure 68%
- Pregame Projected scoreSt. Bonaventure 76, Youngstown State 70
- Model spreadSt. Bonaventure −6 total 145.5
- Margin8 projected 6.2
- Total150 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Youngstown State Penguins or St. Bonaventure Bonnies: the bandwagon
Axle 32–68Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| YSU | 32 | 47 | 79 |
| SBU | 36 | 35 | 71 |
Youngstown State Penguins at St. Bonaventure Bonnies win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Youngstown State Penguins vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | YSU | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | YSU26/67 | SBU28/60 |
| 3-pointers | YSU12/32 | SBU6/17 |
| Free throws | YSU15/21 | SBU9/21 |
| Rebounds | YSU47 | SBU38 |
| Assists | YSU17 | SBU13 |
| Turnovers | YSU13 | SBU13 |
| Steals | YSU8 | SBU10 |
| Blocks | YSU1 | SBU8 |
| Points in the paint | YSU26 | SBU40 |
| Fast-break points | YSU6 | SBU10 |
| Fouls | YSU19 | SBU14 |
| Largest lead | YSU9 | SBU5 |
Youngstown State Penguins vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | YSU | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | YSU79 | SBU71 |
| Average win probability | YSU45% | SBU55% |
| Longest scoring run | YSU+10 | SBU+9 |
| Time leading | YSU16:50 | SBU11:23 |
Youngstown State Penguins vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies odds
Every stored line
| Stored | SBU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 68% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 69% | +4 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- SBU 1504 · YSU 1485
- Home spread
- −6
- Stored
- Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET · 2026-11-03 01:56 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Youngstown State Penguins 79, St. Bonaventure Bonnies 71. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Youngstown State Penguins vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bonnies a 6-point favorite at home, with a 68% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Bonnies 1484 (204th of 361), Penguins 1506 (168th). The Bonnies are 0-0; the Penguins are 0-0. The Bonnies have won 2 of their last 5; the Penguins 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Bonnies won 1, the Penguins 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Youngstown State Penguins
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at St. Bonaventure Bonnies | W 79–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Robert Morris Colonials | L 53–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Green Bay Phoenix | L 63–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Milwaukee Panthers | L 65–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northern Kentucky Norse | W 64–58 | – | – | matchup |
St. Bonaventure Bonnies
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Youngstown State Penguins | L 71–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Dayton Flyers | L 63–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at George Mason Patriots | W 63–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| at La Salle Explorers | W 99–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Davidson Wildcats | L 63–68 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Youngstown State Penguins at St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 80–84 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Youngstown State Penguins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
St. Bonaventure Bonnies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Penguins0-0 12th · -
- Penguins rating1506 168th of 361, 1 games
- Bonnies0-0 13th · -
- Bonnies rating1484 204th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 12th · streak -
No stances yet today on $YSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Youngstown State Penguins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 13th · streak -
No stances yet today on $SBUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Final: Youngstown State 79, St. Bonaventure 71. Bandwagon's model had the St. Bonaventure at 68% and projected St. Bonaventure 76, Youngstown State 70; spread St. Bonaventure −6, total 145.5.