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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Mizzou Arena · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Saint Louis Billikens vs Missouri Tigers prediction, odds and picks, November 6, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Saint Louis Billikens or Missouri Tigers: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 58–42Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: MIZ 42%
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Record 0-0
Game clock
KickoffFriday, November 6 at 7:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
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Saint Louis Billikens at Missouri Tigers win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Saint Louis Billikens vs Missouri Tigers live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Saint Louis Billikens vs Missouri Tigers team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatSLUMIZ
ScoreSLU–MIZ–
Average win probabilitySLU–MIZ–
Longest scoring runSLU–MIZ–
Time leadingSLU–MIZ–

Saint Louis Billikens vs Missouri Tigers odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 11 h ago
Billikens58%
Win chance
Tigers42%
SpreadSLU −1
Total148
Moneyline−137away / +137homeaway / home
Line movementMIZ win chance, 42 stored lines
−8 pts for MIZ since Oct 29
55%25%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: MIZ 50%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: MIZ 31%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: MIZ 31%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: MIZ 31%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: MIZ 41%Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET: MIZ 41%Nov 2, 2:05 AM ET: MIZ 41%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: MIZ 41%Nov 2, 5:25 AM ET: MIZ 41%Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET: MIZ 41%Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET: MIZ 41%Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET: MIZ 41%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: MIZ 41%Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET: MIZ 41%Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET: MIZ 41%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: MIZ 41%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: MIZ 41%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: MIZ 41%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: MIZ 41%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: MIZ 41%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: MIZ 41%Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET: MIZ 41%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: MIZ 41%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: MIZ 41%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: MIZ 40%Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET: MIZ 40%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: MIZ 40%Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET: MIZ 40%Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET: MIZ 40%Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET: MIZ 40%Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET: MIZ 40%Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET: MIZ 40%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: MIZ 40%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: MIZ 40%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: MIZ 40%Nov 3, 9:48 PM ET: MIZ 40%Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET: MIZ 42%Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET: MIZ 42%Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET: MIZ 42%Nov 4, 12:20 AM ET: MIZ 42%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: MIZ 42%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: MIZ 42%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredMIZ winMove
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET42%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET42%0
Nov 4, 12:20 AM ET42%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET42%0
Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET42%0
Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET42%+2
Nov 3, 9:48 PM ET40%0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET40%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET40%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET40%0
Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET40%0
Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET40%0
Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET40%0
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET40%0
Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET40%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET40%0
Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET40%0
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET40%−1
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET41%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET41%0
Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET41%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET41%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET41%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET41%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET41%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET41%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET41%0
Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET41%0
Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET41%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET41%0
Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET41%0
Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET41%0
Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET41%0
Nov 2, 5:25 AM ET41%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET41%0
Nov 2, 2:05 AM ET41%0
Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET41%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET41%+10
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET31%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET31%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET31%−19
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET50%—
Ratings
MIZ 1561 · SLU 1636
Home spread
+1 · neutral site, no home advantage
Stored
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

BillikensTigers
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Tigers–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Saint Louis Billikens vs Missouri Tigers prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Billikens a 1-point favorite, with a 58% chance to win. The model total is 148. Ratings: Tigers 1561 (76th of 361), Billikens 1636 (30th). The Tigers are 0-0; the Billikens are 0-0. The Tigers have won 1 of their last 5; the Billikens 3 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Saint Louis Billikens

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Lehigh Mountain HawksW 92–67––matchup
at Michigan WolverinesL 72–95––matchup
at Georgia BulldogsW 102–77––matchup
vs Dayton FlyersL 69–70––matchup
vs George Washington RevolutionariesW 88–81––matchup

Missouri Tigers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Cleveland State VikingsW 111–50––matchup
at Miami HurricanesL 66–80––matchup
vs Kentucky WildcatsL 72–78––matchup
vs Arkansas RazorbacksL 84–88––matchup
at Oklahoma SoonersL 64–80––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Saint Louis Billikens: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Missouri Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Billikens0-0 12th · -
  • Billikens rating1636 30th of 361, 1 games
  • Tigers0-0 9th · -
  • Tigers rating1561 76th of 361, 1 games

Saint Louis Billikens 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 12th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SLUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SLUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SLUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $SLUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Saint Louis Billikens bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Billikens roster, schedule and more

Missouri Tigers 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MIZMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MIZMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MIZMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MIZMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Missouri Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Tigers roster, schedule and more

Takes on Saint Louis Billikens at Missouri Tigers

Sign in to post a take on $SLUMBBMIZMBB261107: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

Model: Saint Louis 58% to win. Projected score Saint Louis 74.4, Missouri 73.6; spread Saint Louis −1, total 148. Saint Louis Billikens at Missouri Tigers, Fri, Nov 6, 7:00 PM ET.