NCAA Division I men's basketball odds Friday, November 13
Win chance, spread and total for every game. Today's NCAA Division I men's basketball predictions · Standings · every league
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
NCAA Division I men's basketball odds Friday, November 13
54 games| Game | Kick (ET) | Axle win | Spread | Total | Moneyline (away / home) | Movement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Demons at Wildcats | Wildcats 71% | Wildcats −7 | 144.5 | +246 / −246 | no move | Matchup | |
| Argonauts at Vikings neutral site | Argonauts 57% | Argonauts −0.5 | 145.5 | −135 / +135 | no move | Matchup | |
| Islanders at Seminoles | Seminoles 75% | Seminoles −8.5 | 146.5 | +295 / −295 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lions at Hurricanes | Hurricanes 84% | Hurricanes −12 | 146 | +537 / −537 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bulldogs at Scarlet Knights | Scarlet Knights 73% | Scarlet Knights −8 | 145.5 | +275 / −275 | no move | Matchup | |
| Hoyas at Tigers | Tigers 76% | Tigers −9 | 146 | +318 / −318 | no move | Matchup | |
| Panthers at Bulldogs | Bulldogs 66% | Bulldogs −5.5 | 147 | +197 / −197 | spread −5 → −5.5, home 65% → 66% | Matchup | |
| Mountaineers at 49ers | 49ers 58% | 49ers −3.5 | 143 | +136 / −136 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lions at Bison | Bison 55% | Bison −2.5 | 147.5 | +120 / −120 | no move | Matchup | |
| Panthers at Eagles | Eagles 68% | Eagles −6 | 145.5 | +213 / −213 | no move | Matchup | |
| Crimson at Revolutionaries | Revolutionaries 68% | Revolutionaries −6 | 145.5 | +211 / −211 | no move | Matchup | |
| Gaels at Pride | Pride 77% | Pride −9 | 145.5 | +333 / −333 | no move | Matchup | |
| Sharks at Rams | Rams 60% | Rams −4 | 145.5 | +148 / −148 | no move | Matchup | |
| Warriors at Gators | Gators 84% | Gators −12 | 142.5 | +528 / −528 | no move | Matchup | |
| Red Foxes at Mountain Hawks | Mountain Hawks 58% | Mountain Hawks −3.5 | 145.5 | +137 / −137 | no move | Matchup | |
| Mountaineers at Hokies | Hokies 75% | Hokies −8.5 | 145.5 | +297 / −297 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lumberjacks at Wildcats | Wildcats 88% | Wildcats −14.5 | 147 | +755 / −755 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bobcats at Boilermakers | Boilermakers 85% | Boilermakers −12.5 | 147.5 | +558 / −558 | no move | Matchup | |
| Panthers at Commodores | Commodores 86% | Commodores −13.5 | 145.5 | +640 / −640 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bearkats at Fighting Illini | Fighting Illini 83% | Fighting Illini −11.5 | 149 | +500 / −500 | no move | Matchup | |
| Tigers at Volunteers | Volunteers 83% | Volunteers −11.5 | 147 | +494 / −494 | no move | Matchup | |
| Trojans at Wolfpack | Wolfpack 74% | Wolfpack −8 | 144.5 | +285 / −285 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bulldogs at Tar Heels | Tar Heels 70% | Tar Heels −6.5 | 145.5 | +229 / −229 | no move | Matchup | |
| Panthers at Spartans | Spartans 76% | Spartans −9 | 145.5 | +316 / −316 | no move | Matchup | |
| Mocs at Phoenix | Phoenix 67% | Phoenix −6 | 147 | +204 / −204 | no move | Matchup | |
| Raiders at Bulldogs | Bulldogs 63% | Bulldogs −5 | 145.5 | +171 / −171 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bulldogs at Huskies | Bulldogs 68% | Bulldogs −3.5 | 147 | −215 / +215 | no move | Matchup | |
| Eagles at Flames | Flames 81% | Flames −11 | 143.5 | +439 / −439 | no move | Matchup | |
| Buckeyes at Huskies | Huskies 79% | Huskies −10 | 147 | +383 / −383 | no move | Matchup | |
| Coyotes at Bulldogs | Bulldogs 72% | Bulldogs −7.5 | 145.5 | +251 / −251 | no move | Matchup | |
| Redhawks at Blue Raiders | Blue Raiders 65% | Blue Raiders −5 | 145.5 | +182 / −182 | no move | Matchup | |
| Braves at Texans | Texans 74% | Texans −8 | 145.5 | +287 / −287 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bears at Razorbacks | Razorbacks 80% | Razorbacks −10.5 | 147 | +403 / −403 | no move | Matchup | |
| Knights at Sooners | Sooners 85% | Sooners −12.5 | 146 | +581 / −581 | spread −12 → −12.5, home 84% → 85% | Matchup | |
| Eagles at Knights | Knights 71% | Knights −7 | 147.5 | +249 / −249 | no move | Matchup | |
| Redbirds at Bison | Bison 69% | Bison −6.5 | 145.5 | +221 / −221 | no move | Matchup | |
| Panthers at Horned Frogs | Horned Frogs 83% | Horned Frogs −11.5 | 145.5 | +487 / −487 | no move | Matchup | |
| Cougars at Blue Devils | Blue Devils 91% | Blue Devils −16 | 145.5 | +993 / −993 | no move | Matchup | |
| Tigers at Racers | Racers 80% | Racers −10 | 149.5 | +392 / −392 | no move | Matchup | |
| Golden Eagles at Bobcats | Bobcats 67% | Bobcats −6 | 145.5 | +201 / −201 | no move | Matchup | |
| Cavaliers at Terrapins | Cavaliers 58% | Cavaliers −1 | 147 | −139 / +139 | no move | Matchup | |
| Wildcats at Tigers | Wildcats 52% | Tigers −1 | 145.5 | −108 / +108 | no move | Matchup | |
| Cardinals at Mustangs | Mustangs 82% | Mustangs −11.5 | 144.5 | +468 / −468 | no move | Matchup | |
| Mustangs at Vandals | Vandals 69% | Vandals −6.5 | 145.5 | +222 / −222 | no move | Matchup | |
| Pirates at Crimson Tide | Crimson Tide 79% | Crimson Tide −10 | 144.5 | +370 / −370 | no move | Matchup | |
| Cardinal at Rebels | Rebels 63% | Rebels −5 | 146.5 | +170 / −170 | no move | Matchup | |
| Warhawks at Sun Devils | Sun Devils 88% | Sun Devils −14 | 146.5 | +712 / −712 | no move | Matchup | |
| Musketeers at Bulldogs neutral site | Bulldogs 50% | Bulldogs −1.5 | 150 | +102 / −102 | no move | Matchup | |
| Cougars at Toreros | Toreros 70% | Toreros −7 | 145.5 | +232 / −232 | no move | Matchup | |
| Delta Devils at Beavers | Beavers 90% | Beavers −15.5 | 145.5 | +906 / −906 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lions at Pilots | Pilots 69% | Pilots −6.5 | 145.5 | +225 / −225 | no move | Matchup | |
| Tritons at Aggies | Aggies 77% | Aggies −9 | 145.5 | +334 / −334 | no move | Matchup | |
| Flames at Gaels | Gaels 79% | Gaels −10 | 145.5 | +382 / −382 | no move | Matchup | |
| Golden Lions at Lancers | Lancers 82% | Lancers −11 | 146.5 | +451 / −451 | no move | Matchup |
How these lines are made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal inputs
- Ratings from results used in 54 of 54
an Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results - Home advantage used in 54 of 54
the league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results - Schedule used in 54 of 54
rest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures - Recent form unavailable for 54 (Fewer than three games played this season by at least one side)
average margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External inputs
- Injuries unavailable for 54 (More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that window)
players listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores - Travel and time zones in the data but not used for 42 · unavailable for 12 (Neutral site; A previous venue or its coordinates is not stored)
distance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · newest read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC - Weather unavailable for 54 (Indoor sport)
forecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
NCAA Division I men's basketball team ratings
The Elo-style ratings the lines are made from, after the latest results. The league mean is 1500.
| # | Team | Rating | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan Wolverines | 1782 | 1 |
| 2 | Duke Blue Devils | 1766 | 1 |
| 3 | Arizona Wildcats | 1723 | 1 |
| 4 | Florida Gators | 1723 | 1 |
| 5 | Houston Cougars | 1703 | 1 |
| 6 | UConn Huskies | 1703 | 1 |
| 7 | St. John's Red Storm | 1702 | 1 |
| 8 | Gonzaga Bulldogs | 1702 | 1 |
| 9 | Illinois Fighting Illini | 1699 | 1 |
| 10 | Michigan State Spartans | 1684 | 1 |
| 11 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 1677 | 1 |
| 12 | Purdue Boilermakers | 1672 | 1 |
Top 12 of 361; every team's rating is on its page.
NCAA Division I men's basketball model record
Over 17026 NCAA Division I men's basketball games in 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, scored before each result was known: the favored side won 72% of the time, Brier score 0.186, mean spread error 9.723 points, mean total error 13.897. Calibration and method.
Bandwagon's model lines for NCAA Division I men's basketball games Friday, November 13: win probability, spread, total and moneyline for each game, movement since the last line, and the team ratings behind them. Not a sportsbook.