Northern Iowa Panthers vs Michigan State Spartans prediction, odds and picks, November 13, 2026
- Projected winnerMichigan State 76%
- Projected scoreMichigan State 77, Northern Iowa 68
- Model spreadMichigan State −9 total 145.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Northern Iowa Panthers or Michigan State Spartans: the bandwagon
Axle 24–76Market –
Northern Iowa Panthers at Michigan State Spartans win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Northern Iowa Panthers vs Michigan State Spartans live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Northern Iowa Panthers vs Michigan State Spartans team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | UNI | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | UNI– | MSU– |
| Average win probability | UNI– | MSU– |
| Longest scoring run | UNI– | MSU– |
| Time leading | UNI– | MSU– |
Northern Iowa Panthers vs Michigan State Spartans odds
Every stored line
| Stored | MSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:08 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:48 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 76% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:58 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 75% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 78% | — |
- Ratings
- MSU 1684 · UNI 1598
- Home spread
- −9
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Northern Iowa Panthers vs Michigan State Spartans prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Spartans a 9-point favorite at home, with a 76% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Spartans 1684 (10th of 361), Panthers 1598 (46th). The Spartans are 0-0; the Panthers are 0-0. The Spartans have won 3 of their last 5; the Panthers 4 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at St. John's Red Storm | L 53–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UIC Flames | W 84–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Bradley Braves | W 73–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Illinois State Redbirds | W 74–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Evansville Purple Aces | W 68–59 | – | – | matchup |
Michigan State Spartans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Quinnipiac Bobcats | W 96–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UConn Huskies | L 63–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Louisville Cardinals | W 77–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs North Dakota State Bison | W 92–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UCLA Bruins | L 84–88 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Northern Iowa Panthers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Michigan State Spartans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Panthers0-0 8th · -
- Panthers rating1598 46th of 361, 0 games
- Spartans0-0 6th · -
- Spartans rating1684 10th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak -
No stances yet today on $UNIMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Northern Iowa Panthers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak -
No stances yet today on $MSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Michigan State Spartans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Northern Iowa Panthers at Michigan State Spartans
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Model: Michigan State 76% to win. Projected score Michigan State 77, Northern Iowa 68; spread Michigan State −9, total 145.5. Northern Iowa Panthers at Michigan State Spartans, Fri, Nov 13, 7:00 PM ET.