Quinnipiac Bobcats vs Michigan State Spartans: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreQuinnipiac 59, Michigan State 96 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerMichigan State 81%
- Pregame Projected scoreMichigan State 78, Quinnipiac 67
- Model spreadMichigan State −10.5 total 145.5
- Margin37 projected 10.7
- Total155 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Quinnipiac Bobcats or Michigan State Spartans: the bandwagon
Axle 19–81Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| QUIN | 24 | 35 | 59 |
| MSU | 52 | 44 | 96 |
Quinnipiac Bobcats at Michigan State Spartans win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs Michigan State Spartans live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | QUIN | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | QUIN20/56 | MSU36/62 |
| 3-pointers | QUIN6/21 | MSU9/23 |
| Free throws | QUIN13/24 | MSU15/26 |
| Rebounds | QUIN27 | MSU46 |
| Assists | QUIN15 | MSU22 |
| Turnovers | QUIN16 | MSU12 |
| Steals | QUIN6 | MSU10 |
| Blocks | QUIN1 | MSU8 |
| Points in the paint | QUIN22 | MSU50 |
| Fast-break points | QUIN8 | MSU36 |
| Fouls | QUIN19 | MSU21 |
| Largest lead | QUIN0 | MSU40 |
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs Michigan State Spartans team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | QUIN | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | QUIN59 | MSU96 |
| Average win probability | QUIN2% | MSU98% |
| Longest scoring run | QUIN+5 | MSU+10 |
| Time leading | QUIN0:00 | MSU39:00 |
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs Michigan State Spartans odds
Every stored line
| Stored | MSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:25 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 81% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 85% | +20 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- MSU 1672 · QUIN 1536
- Home spread
- −10.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:01 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Quinnipiac Bobcats 59, Michigan State Spartans 96. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs Michigan State Spartans prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Spartans a 10.5-point favorite at home, with a 81% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Spartans 1684 (10th of 361), Bobcats 1525 (136th). The Spartans are 1-0; the Bobcats are 0-1. The Spartans have won 3 of their last 5; the Bobcats 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Quinnipiac Bobcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Michigan State Spartans | L 59–96 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Marist Red Foxes | L 75–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Canisius Golden Griffins | W 67–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Niagara Purple Eagles | L 76–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Fairfield Stags | L 79–85 | – | – | matchup |
Michigan State Spartans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Quinnipiac Bobcats | W 96–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UConn Huskies | L 63–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Louisville Cardinals | W 77–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs North Dakota State Bison | W 92–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UCLA Bruins | L 84–88 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Quinnipiac Bobcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Michigan State Spartans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bobcats0-1 9th · L1
- Bobcats rating1525 136th of 361, 1 games
- Spartans1-0 6th · W1
- Spartans rating1684 10th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $QUINMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Quinnipiac Bobcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $MSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Michigan State Spartans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Final: Quinnipiac 59, Michigan State 96. Bandwagon's model had the Michigan State at 81% and projected Michigan State 78, Quinnipiac 67; spread Michigan State −10.5, total 145.5.