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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Stabler Arena · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Marist Red Foxes vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks prediction, odds and picks, November 13, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Marist Red Foxes or Lehigh Mountain Hawks: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 42–58Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: LEH 58%
Record 0-1
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Game clock
KickoffFriday, November 13 at 7:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
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Marist Red Foxes at Lehigh Mountain Hawks win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Marist Red Foxes vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Marist Red Foxes vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatMRSTLEH
ScoreMRST–LEH–
Average win probabilityMRST–LEH–
Longest scoring runMRST–LEH–
Time leadingMRST–LEH–

Marist Red Foxes vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 10:16 PM ET
Red Foxes42%
Win chance
Mountain Hawks58%
SpreadLEH −3.5
Total145.5
Moneyline+137away / −137homeaway / home
Line movementLEH win chance, 30 stored lines
+5 pts for LEH since Oct 31
64%48%
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: LEH 53%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: LEH 56%Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET: LEH 56%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: LEH 56%Nov 2, 5:25 AM ET: LEH 56%Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET: LEH 56%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: LEH 56%Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET: LEH 56%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: LEH 56%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: LEH 56%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: LEH 59%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: LEH 58%Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET: LEH 58%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: LEH 58%Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET: LEH 58%Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET: LEH 58%Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET: LEH 58%Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET: LEH 58%Nov 3, 12:00 AM ET: LEH 58%Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET: LEH 58%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: LEH 58%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: LEH 58%Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET: LEH 58%Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET: LEH 58%Nov 3, 10:08 PM ET: LEH 58%Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET: LEH 58%Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET: LEH 58%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: LEH 58%Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET: LEH 58%Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET: LEH 58%
Oct 31Nov 2Now
Every stored line
StoredLEH winMove
Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET58%0
Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET58%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET58%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET58%0
Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET58%0
Nov 3, 10:08 PM ET58%0
Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET58%0
Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET58%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET58%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET58%0
Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET58%0
Nov 3, 12:00 AM ET58%0
Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET58%0
Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET58%0
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET58%0
Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET58%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET58%0
Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET58%0
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET58%−1
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET59%+3
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET56%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET56%0
Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET56%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET56%0
Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET56%0
Nov 2, 5:25 AM ET56%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET56%0
Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET56%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET56%+3
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET53%—
Ratings
LEH 1447 · MRST 1501
Home spread
−3.5
Stored
Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET · 2026-11-05 03:16 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

Red FoxesMountain Hawks
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Mountain Hawks–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Marist Red Foxes vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Mountain Hawks a 3.5-point favorite at home, with a 58% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Mountain Hawks 1447 (258th of 361), Red Foxes 1501 (176th). The Mountain Hawks are 0-1; the Red Foxes are 0-1. The Mountain Hawks have won 3 of their last 5; the Red Foxes 2 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Mountain Hawks won 3, the Red Foxes 1.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Marist Red Foxes

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Dartmouth Big GreenL 62–69––matchup
at Merrimack WarriorsL 57–58––matchup
at Quinnipiac BobcatsW 77–75––matchup
vs Saint Peter's PeacocksL 56–63––matchup
vs Sacred Heart PioneersW 65–63––matchup

Lehigh Mountain Hawks

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Saint Louis BillikensL 67–92––matchup
vs Prairie View A&M PanthersL 55–67––matchup
vs Boston University TerriersW 74–60––matchup
vs Colgate RaidersW 76–69––matchup
vs Holy Cross CrusadersW 69–66––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Lehigh Mountain Hawks at Marist Red Foxes55–78––matchup
Marist Red Foxes at Lehigh Mountain Hawks69–74––matchup
Lehigh Mountain Hawks at Marist Red Foxes65–58––matchup
Marist Red Foxes at Lehigh Mountain Hawks54–64––matchup

Injuries

Marist Red Foxes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Lehigh Mountain Hawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Red Foxes0-1 5th · L1
  • Red Foxes rating1501 176th of 361, 1 games
  • Mountain Hawks0-1 8th · L1
  • Mountain Hawks rating1447 258th of 361, 1 games

Marist Red Foxes 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MRSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MRSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MRSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MRSTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Marist Red Foxes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Red Foxes roster, schedule and more

Lehigh Mountain Hawks 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $LEHMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $LEHMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $LEHMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $LEHMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Lehigh Mountain Hawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Mountain Hawks roster, schedule and more

Takes on Marist Red Foxes at Lehigh Mountain Hawks

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Model: Lehigh 58% to win. Projected score Lehigh 74, Marist 71; spread Lehigh −3.5, total 145.5. Marist Red Foxes at Lehigh Mountain Hawks, Fri, Nov 13, 7:00 PM ET.