Dartmouth Big Green vs Marist Red Foxes: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreDartmouth 69, Marist 62 the projected winner lost
- Pregame Projected winnerMarist 75%
- Pregame Projected scoreMarist 77, Dartmouth 68
- Model spreadMarist −8.5 total 145.5
- Margin7 projected 8.6
- Total131 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Dartmouth Big Green or Marist Red Foxes: the bandwagon
Axle 25–75Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| DART | 26 | 43 | 69 |
| MRST | 27 | 35 | 62 |
Dartmouth Big Green at Marist Red Foxes win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Dartmouth Big Green vs Marist Red Foxes live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | DART | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | DART24/53 | MRST17/46 |
| 3-pointers | DART8/25 | MRST7/14 |
| Free throws | DART13/24 | MRST21/26 |
| Rebounds | DART36 | MRST30 |
| Assists | DART11 | MRST12 |
| Turnovers | DART16 | MRST18 |
| Steals | DART11 | MRST6 |
| Blocks | DART2 | MRST3 |
| Points in the paint | DART32 | MRST16 |
| Fast-break points | DART5 | MRST6 |
| Fouls | DART23 | MRST18 |
| Largest lead | DART8 | MRST9 |
Dartmouth Big Green vs Marist Red Foxes team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | DART | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Score | DART69 | MRST62 |
| Average win probability | DART29% | MRST71% |
| Longest scoring run | DART+8 | MRST+5 |
| Time leading | DART4:33 | MRST15:26 |
Dartmouth Big Green vs Marist Red Foxes odds
Every stored line
| Stored | MRST win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:58 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 75% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 78% | +13 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- MRST 1523 · DART 1441
- Home spread
- −8.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:31 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Dartmouth Big Green 69, Marist Red Foxes 62. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Dartmouth Big Green vs Marist Red Foxes prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Red Foxes a 8.5-point favorite at home, with a 75% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Red Foxes 1501 (176th of 361), Big Green 1463 (238th). The Red Foxes are 0-1; the Big Green are 1-0. The Red Foxes have won 2 of their last 5; the Big Green 2 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Red Foxes won 3, the Big Green 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Dartmouth Big Green
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Marist Red Foxes | W 69–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cornell Big Red | L 90–111 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Princeton Tigers | L 61–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Pennsylvania Quakers | L 71–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Columbia Lions | W 64–63 | – | – | matchup |
Marist Red Foxes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Dartmouth Big Green | L 62–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Merrimack Warriors | L 57–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Quinnipiac Bobcats | W 77–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Saint Peter's Peacocks | L 56–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Sacred Heart Pioneers | W 65–63 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marist Red Foxes at Dartmouth Big Green | 75–56 | – | – | matchup | |
| Dartmouth Big Green at Marist Red Foxes | 62–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| Marist Red Foxes at Dartmouth Big Green | 63–53 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Dartmouth Big Green: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Marist Red Foxes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Big Green1-0 2nd · W1
- Big Green rating1463 238th of 361, 1 games
- Red Foxes0-1 5th · L1
- Red Foxes rating1501 176th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $DARTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Dartmouth Big Green bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Marist Red Foxes 0-1
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $MRSTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Marist Red Foxes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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