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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Coleman Coliseum · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Seton Hall Pirates vs Alabama Crimson Tide prediction, odds and picks, November 13, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Seton Hall Pirates or Alabama Crimson Tide: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 21–79Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: ALA 79%
Record 1-0
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Game clock
KickoffFriday, November 13 at 9:00 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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Seton Hall Pirates at Alabama Crimson Tide win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Seton Hall Pirates vs Alabama Crimson Tide live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Seton Hall Pirates vs Alabama Crimson Tide team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatHALLALA
ScoreHALL–ALA–
Average win probabilityHALL–ALA–
Longest scoring runHALL–ALA–
Time leadingHALL–ALA–

Seton Hall Pirates vs Alabama Crimson Tide odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 11:01 PM ET
Pirates21%
Win chance
Crimson Tide79%
SpreadALA −10
Total144.5
Moneyline+370away / −370homeaway / home
Line movementALA win chance, 32 stored lines
−4 pts for ALA since Oct 31
88%72%
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: ALA 83%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: ALA 79%Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET: ALA 79%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: ALA 79%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: ALA 79%Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET: ALA 79%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: ALA 79%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: ALA 79%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: ALA 79%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: ALA 79%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: ALA 79%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: ALA 78%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: ALA 78%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: ALA 78%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: ALA 78%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: ALA 78%Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET: ALA 78%Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET: ALA 78%Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET: ALA 78%Nov 3, 12:00 AM ET: ALA 78%Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET: ALA 78%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: ALA 78%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: ALA 78%Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET: ALA 78%Nov 3, 9:18 PM ET: ALA 78%Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET: ALA 79%Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET: ALA 79%Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET: ALA 79%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: ALA 79%Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET: ALA 79%Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET: ALA 79%Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET: ALA 79%
Oct 31Nov 2Now
Every stored line
StoredALA winMove
Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET79%0
Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET79%0
Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET79%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET79%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET79%0
Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET79%0
Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET79%+1
Nov 3, 9:18 PM ET78%0
Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET78%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET78%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET78%0
Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET78%0
Nov 3, 12:00 AM ET78%0
Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET78%−1
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET79%0
Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET79%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET79%−4
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET83%—
Ratings
ALA 1677 · HALL 1564
Home spread
−10
Stored
Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET · 2026-11-05 04:01 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

PiratesCrimson Tide
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Crimson Tide–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Seton Hall Pirates vs Alabama Crimson Tide prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Crimson Tide a 10-point favorite at home, with a 79% chance to win. The model total is 144.5. Ratings: Crimson Tide 1677 (11th of 361), Pirates 1564 (75th). The Crimson Tide are 1-0; the Pirates are 1-0. The Crimson Tide have won 3 of their last 5; the Pirates 3 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Seton Hall Pirates

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Saint Peter's PeacocksW 66–42––matchup
at St. John's Red StormL 68–78––matchup
vs Creighton BluejaysW 72–61––matchup
vs St. John's Red StormL 65–72––matchup
at Xavier MusketeersW 77–68––matchup

Alabama Crimson Tide

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Sam Houston BearkatsW 96–74––matchup
at Michigan WolverinesL 77–90––matchup
vs Texas Tech Red RaidersW 90–65––matchup
vs Hofstra PrideW 90–70––matchup
vs Ole Miss RebelsL 79–80––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Seton Hall Pirates: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Alabama Crimson Tide: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Pirates1-0 7th · W1
  • Pirates rating1564 75th of 361, 1 games
  • Crimson Tide1-0 1st · W1
  • Crimson Tide rating1677 11th of 361, 1 games

Seton Hall Pirates 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $HALLMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $HALLMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $HALLMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $HALLMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Seton Hall Pirates bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Pirates roster, schedule and more

Alabama Crimson Tide 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ALAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ALAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ALAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $ALAMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Alabama Crimson Tide bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Crimson Tide roster, schedule and more

Takes on Seton Hall Pirates at Alabama Crimson Tide

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Model: Alabama 79% to win. Projected score Alabama 77, Seton Hall 67; spread Alabama −10, total 144.5. Seton Hall Pirates at Alabama Crimson Tide, Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET.