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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Chiles Center · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

East Texas A&M Lions vs Portland Pilots prediction, odds and picks, November 13, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

East Texas A&M Lions or Portland Pilots: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 31–69Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: PORT 69%
Record 0-0
––
Record 0-0
Game clock
KickoffFriday, November 13 at 10:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
–

East Texas A&M Lions at Portland Pilots win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

East Texas A&M Lions vs Portland Pilots live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

East Texas A&M Lions vs Portland Pilots team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatETAMPORT
ScoreETAM–PORT–
Average win probabilityETAM–PORT–
Longest scoring runETAM–PORT–
Time leadingETAM–PORT–

East Texas A&M Lions vs Portland Pilots odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 11 h ago
Lions31%
Win chance
Pilots69%
SpreadPORT −6.5
Total145.5
Moneyline+225away / −225homeaway / home
Line movementPORT win chance, 30 stored lines
−5 pts for PORT since Oct 31
79%64%
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: PORT 74%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: PORT 71%Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET: PORT 71%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: PORT 71%Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET: PORT 71%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: PORT 71%Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET: PORT 71%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: PORT 71%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: PORT 71%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: PORT 71%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: PORT 71%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: PORT 71%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: PORT 71%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: PORT 71%Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET: PORT 71%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: PORT 71%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: PORT 69%Nov 2, 10:46 PM ET: PORT 69%Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET: PORT 69%Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET: PORT 69%Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET: PORT 69%Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET: PORT 69%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: PORT 69%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: PORT 69%Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET: PORT 69%Nov 3, 9:18 PM ET: PORT 69%Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET: PORT 69%Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET: PORT 69%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: PORT 69%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: PORT 69%
Oct 31Nov 2Now
Every stored line
StoredPORT winMove
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET69%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET69%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET69%0
Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET69%0
Nov 3, 9:18 PM ET69%0
Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET69%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET69%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET69%0
Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET69%0
Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET69%0
Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 10:46 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET69%−2
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET71%0
Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET71%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET71%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET71%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET71%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET71%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET71%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET71%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET71%0
Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET71%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET71%0
Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET71%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET71%0
Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET71%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET71%−3
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET74%—
Ratings
PORT 1441 · ETAM 1410
Home spread
−6.5
Stored
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

LionsPilots
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Pilots–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

East Texas A&M Lions vs Portland Pilots prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Pilots a 6.5-point favorite at home, with a 69% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Pilots 1441 (267th of 361), Lions 1410 (307th). The Pilots are 0-0; the Lions are 0-0. The Pilots have won 3 of their last 5; the Lions 1 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

East Texas A&M Lions

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Oklahoma SoonersW 68–64––matchup
at Texas A&M-Corpus Christi IslandersL 71–84––matchup
at UT Rio Grande Valley VaquerosL 55–63––matchup
vs Houston Christian HuskiesL 68–69––matchup
vs Incarnate Word CardinalsL 73–82––matchup

Portland Pilots

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at San Francisco DonsL 65–82––matchup
at Washington State CougarsW 74–68––matchup
vs Pepperdine WavesW 77–68––matchup
vs San Diego TorerosW 87–74––matchup
at Gonzaga BulldogsL 48–89––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

East Texas A&M Lions: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Portland Pilots: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Lions0-0 2nd · -
  • Lions rating1410 307th of 361, 1 games
  • Pilots0-0 5th · -
  • Pilots rating1441 267th of 361, 0 games

East Texas A&M Lions 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ETAMMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ETAMMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ETAMMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $ETAMMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the East Texas A&M Lions bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Lions roster, schedule and more

Portland Pilots 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $PORTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $PORTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $PORTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $PORTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Portland Pilots bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Pilots roster, schedule and more

Takes on East Texas A&M Lions at Portland Pilots

Sign in to post a take on $ETAMMBBPORTMBB261114: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

Model: Portland 69% to win. Projected score Portland 76, East Texas A&M 69; spread Portland −6.5, total 145.5. East Texas A&M Lions at Portland Pilots, Fri, Nov 13, 10:00 PM ET.