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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Cameron Indoor Stadium · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

SIU Edwardsville Cougars vs Duke Blue Devils prediction, odds and picks, November 13, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

SIU Edwardsville Cougars or Duke Blue Devils: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 9–91Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: DUKE 91%
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Record 0-0
Game clock
KickoffFriday, November 13 at 8:00 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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SIU Edwardsville Cougars at Duke Blue Devils win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

SIU Edwardsville Cougars vs Duke Blue Devils live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

SIU Edwardsville Cougars vs Duke Blue Devils team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatSIUEDUKE
ScoreSIUE–DUKE–
Average win probabilitySIUE–DUKE–
Longest scoring runSIUE–DUKE–
Time leadingSIUE–DUKE–

SIU Edwardsville Cougars vs Duke Blue Devils odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 7 h ago
Cougars9%
Win chance
Blue Devils91%
SpreadDUKE −16
Total145.5
Moneyline+992away / −992homeaway / home
Line movementDUKE win chance, 45 stored lines
−3 pts for DUKE since Oct 31
100%85%
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: DUKE 94%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 3, 9:48 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 4, 12:25 AM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: DUKE 91%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: DUKE 91%
Oct 31Nov 2Now
Every stored line
StoredDUKE winMove
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET91%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET91%0
Nov 4, 12:25 AM ET91%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET91%0
Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET91%0
Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET91%0
Nov 3, 9:48 PM ET91%0
Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET91%0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET91%0
Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET91%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET91%0
Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET91%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET91%0
Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET91%0
Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET91%0
Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET91%0
Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET91%0
Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET91%0
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET91%0
Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET91%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET91%0
Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET91%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET91%0
Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET91%0
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET91%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET91%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET91%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET91%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET91%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET91%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET91%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET91%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET91%0
Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET91%0
Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET91%0
Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET91%0
Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET91%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET91%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET91%0
Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET91%0
Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET91%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET91%0
Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET91%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET91%−3
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET94%—
Ratings
DUKE 1766 · SIUE 1489
Home spread
−16
Stored
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

CougarsBlue Devils
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Blue Devils–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

SIU Edwardsville Cougars vs Duke Blue Devils prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Blue Devils a 16-point favorite at home, with a 91% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Blue Devils 1766 (2nd of 361), Cougars 1489 (194th). The Blue Devils are 0-0; the Cougars are 0-0. The Blue Devils have won 4 of their last 5; the Cougars 2 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

SIU Edwardsville Cougars

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Eastern Illinois PanthersL 71–77––matchup
vs Eastern Illinois PanthersW 77–50––matchup
vs Western Illinois LeathernecksW 67–47––matchup
at Tennessee State TigersL 53–80––matchup
at Tennessee Tech Golden EaglesL 52–62––matchup

Duke Blue Devils

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Army Black KnightsW 84–50––matchup
vs UConn HuskiesL 72–73––matchup
vs St. John's Red StormW 80–75––matchup
vs TCU Horned FrogsW 81–58––matchup
vs Siena SaintsW 71–65––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

SIU Edwardsville Cougars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Duke Blue Devils: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Cougars0-0 4th · -
  • Cougars rating1489 194th of 361, 0 games
  • Blue Devils0-0 5th · -
  • Blue Devils rating1766 2nd of 361, 1 games

SIU Edwardsville Cougars 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SIUEMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SIUEMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SIUEMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $SIUEMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the SIU Edwardsville Cougars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Cougars roster, schedule and more

Duke Blue Devils 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $DUKEMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $DUKEMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $DUKEMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $DUKEMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Duke Blue Devils bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Blue Devils roster, schedule and more

Takes on SIU Edwardsville Cougars at Duke Blue Devils

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Model: Duke 91% to win. Projected score Duke 81, SIU Edwardsville 65; spread Duke −16, total 145.5. SIU Edwardsville Cougars at Duke Blue Devils, Fri, Nov 13, 8:00 PM ET.