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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Carver–Hawkeye Arena · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Eastern Illinois Panthers vs Iowa Hawkeyes prediction, odds and picks, November 6, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Eastern Illinois Panthers or Iowa Hawkeyes: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 12–88Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: IOWA 88%
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Record 1-0
Game clock
KickoffFriday, November 6 at 8:30 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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Eastern Illinois Panthers at Iowa Hawkeyes win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Eastern Illinois Panthers vs Iowa Hawkeyes live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Eastern Illinois Panthers vs Iowa Hawkeyes team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatEIUIOWA
ScoreEIU–IOWA–
Average win probabilityEIU–IOWA–
Longest scoring runEIU–IOWA–
Time leadingEIU–IOWA–

Eastern Illinois Panthers vs Iowa Hawkeyes odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 12:11 AM ET
Panthers12%
Win chance
Hawkeyes88%
SpreadIOWA −14
Total144.5
Moneyline+703away / −703homeaway / home
Line movementIOWA win chance, 47 stored lines
+23 pts for IOWA since Oct 29
95%60%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: IOWA 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: IOWA 90%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: IOWA 90%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: IOWA 90%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: IOWA 86%Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET: IOWA 86%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: IOWA 86%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: IOWA 86%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: IOWA 86%Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET: IOWA 86%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: IOWA 87%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: IOWA 87%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: IOWA 87%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: IOWA 87%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: IOWA 87%Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET: IOWA 87%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: IOWA 87%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: IOWA 87%Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET: IOWA 87%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: IOWA 87%Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET: IOWA 87%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: IOWA 87%Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET: IOWA 87%Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET: IOWA 87%Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET: IOWA 87%Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET: IOWA 87%Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET: IOWA 87%Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET: IOWA 87%Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET: IOWA 87%Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET: IOWA 87%Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET: IOWA 87%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: IOWA 87%Nov 3, 2:23 AM ET: IOWA 87%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: IOWA 87%Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET: IOWA 87%Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET: IOWA 87%Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET: IOWA 87%Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET: IOWA 87%Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET: IOWA 88%Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET: IOWA 88%Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET: IOWA 88%Nov 4, 12:25 AM ET: IOWA 88%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: IOWA 88%Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET: IOWA 88%Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET: IOWA 88%Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET: IOWA 88%Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET: IOWA 88%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredIOWA winMove
Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET88%0
Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET88%0
Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET88%0
Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET88%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET88%0
Nov 4, 12:25 AM ET88%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET88%0
Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET88%0
Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET88%+1
Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET87%0
Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET87%0
Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET87%0
Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET87%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET87%0
Nov 3, 2:23 AM ET87%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET87%0
Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET87%0
Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET87%0
Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET87%0
Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET87%0
Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET87%0
Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET87%0
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET87%0
Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET87%0
Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET87%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET87%0
Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET87%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET87%0
Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET87%0
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET87%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET87%0
Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET87%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET87%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET87%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET87%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET87%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET87%+1
Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET86%0
Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET86%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET86%−4
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET90%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET90%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET90%+25
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
IOWA 1615 · EIU 1397
Home spread
−14
Stored
Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET · 2026-11-05 05:11 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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PanthersHawkeyes
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Hawkeyes–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Eastern Illinois Panthers vs Iowa Hawkeyes prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Hawkeyes a 14-point favorite at home, with a 88% chance to win. The model total is 144.5. Ratings: Hawkeyes 1615 (38th of 361), Panthers 1397 (325th). The Hawkeyes are 1-0; the Panthers are 0-1. The Hawkeyes have won 4 of their last 5; the Panthers 1 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Hawkeyes won 0, the Panthers 1.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Eastern Illinois Panthers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Indiana HoosiersL 57–91––matchup
at UT Martin SkyhawksL 63–66––matchup
at SIU Edwardsville CougarsW 77–71––matchup
at SIU Edwardsville CougarsL 50–77––matchup
vs Morehead State EaglesL 70–73––matchup

Iowa Hawkeyes

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Lipscomb BisonsW 76–54––matchup
at Illinois Fighting IlliniL 59–71––matchup
at Nebraska CornhuskersW 77–71––matchup
at Florida GatorsW 73–72––matchup
at Clemson TigersW 67–61––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Eastern Illinois Panthers at Iowa Hawkeyes92–83––matchup

Injuries

Eastern Illinois Panthers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Iowa Hawkeyes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Panthers0-1 3rd · L1
  • Panthers rating1397 325th of 361, 1 games
  • Hawkeyes1-0 3rd · W1
  • Hawkeyes rating1615 38th of 361, 1 games

Eastern Illinois Panthers 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $EIUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $EIUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $EIUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $EIUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Eastern Illinois Panthers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Panthers roster, schedule and more

Iowa Hawkeyes 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $IOWAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $IOWAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $IOWAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $IOWAMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Iowa Hawkeyes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Hawkeyes roster, schedule and more

Takes on Eastern Illinois Panthers at Iowa Hawkeyes

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Model: Iowa 88% to win. Projected score Iowa 79, Eastern Illinois 65; spread Iowa −14, total 144.5. Eastern Illinois Panthers at Iowa Hawkeyes, Fri, Nov 6, 8:30 PM ET.