Iowa Hawkeyes lead Lipscomb Bisons 4-0 with 17:31 left in the 1st period. Our model gives Iowa a 78% chance at home, and the crowd has not made any picks yet.
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Carver–Hawkeye Arena · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line
Lipscomb Bisons vs Iowa Hawkeyes: final score and how the prediction did, November 3, 2026
- Final scoreLipscomb 54, Iowa 76 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerIowa 78%
- Pregame Projected scoreIowa 77, Lipscomb 68
- Model spreadIowa −9.5 total 145.5
- Margin22 projected 9.5
- Total130 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Lipscomb Bisons or Iowa Hawkeyes: the bandwagon
Axle 22–78Market –
FinalPregame: IOWA 78%Baseline: IOWA 88.4% (+10.5)Big swing: 8.5 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIP | 29 | 25 | 54 |
| IOWA | 38 | 38 | 76 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Lipscomb Bisons at Iowa Hawkeyes win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for IOWA over the last 5:00
Big swing8.5 ptstoward IOWA at 18:18 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final half
BaselineIOWA 88.4%game average, +10.5 points from the pregame 77.9%
Lipscomb Bisons vs Iowa Hawkeyes live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | LIP | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | LIP17/47 | IOWA28/59 |
| 3-pointers | LIP3/18 | IOWA6/25 |
| Free throws | LIP17/21 | IOWA14/28 |
| Rebounds | LIP33 | IOWA41 |
| Assists | LIP5 | IOWA16 |
| Turnovers | LIP17 | IOWA8 |
| Steals | LIP4 | IOWA11 |
| Blocks | LIP1 | IOWA2 |
| Points in the paint | LIP26 | IOWA42 |
| Fast-break points | LIP2 | IOWA15 |
| Fouls | LIP25 | IOWA19 |
| Largest lead | LIP1 | IOWA27 |
Lipscomb Bisons vs Iowa Hawkeyes team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | LIP | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | LIP54 | IOWA76 |
| Average win probability | LIP12% | IOWA88% |
| Longest scoring run | LIP+4 | IOWA+9 |
| Time leading | LIP0:00 | IOWA24:28 |
Lipscomb Bisons vs Iowa Hawkeyes odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET
Bisons22%
Win chanceHawkeyes78%
SpreadIOWA −9.5closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+353away / −353homeaway / home
Line movementIOWA win chance, 36 stored lines
+13 pts for IOWA between Oct 29 and Nov 3
85%60%
Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3
Every stored line
| Stored | IOWA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 2:23 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:00 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 78% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 77% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 80% | +15 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- IOWA 1605 · LIP 1501
- Home spread
- −9.5
- Stored
- Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET · 2026-11-04 02:33 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Lipscomb Bisons 54, Iowa Hawkeyes 76. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
BisonsHawkeyes
Neutrals only–
BisonsHawkeyes
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Hawkeyes–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Lipscomb Bisons vs Iowa Hawkeyes prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Hawkeyes a 9.5-point favorite at home, with a 78% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Hawkeyes 1615 (38th of 361), Bisons 1490 (191st). The Hawkeyes are 1-0; the Bisons are 0-2. The Hawkeyes have won 4 of their last 5; the Bisons 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Lipscomb Bisons
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Iowa Hawkeyes | L 54–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | L 79–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | L 53–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Eastern Kentucky Colonels | W 80–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| at West Georgia Wolves | L 78–84 | – | – | matchup |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Lipscomb Bisons | W 76–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Illinois Fighting Illini | L 59–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Nebraska Cornhuskers | W 77–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Florida Gators | W 73–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Clemson Tigers | W 67–61 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Lipscomb Bisons: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Iowa Hawkeyes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bisons0-2 7th · L2
- Bisons rating1490 191st of 361, 2 games
- Hawkeyes1-0 3rd · W1
- Hawkeyes rating1615 38th of 361, 1 games
Lipscomb Bisons 0-2
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak L2
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Iowa Hawkeyes 1-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak W1
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