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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Marriott Center · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Omaha Mavericks vs BYU Cougars prediction, odds and picks, November 6, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Omaha Mavericks or BYU Cougars: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 19–81Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: BYU 81%
Record 1-0
––
Record 1-0
Game clock
KickoffFriday, November 6 at 9:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
–

Omaha Mavericks at BYU Cougars win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Omaha Mavericks vs BYU Cougars live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Omaha Mavericks vs BYU Cougars team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatOMABYU
ScoreOMA–BYU–
Average win probabilityOMA–BYU–
Longest scoring runOMA–BYU–
Time leadingOMA–BYU–

Omaha Mavericks vs BYU Cougars odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 3 h ago
Mavericks19%
Win chance
Cougars81%
SpreadBYU −10.5
Total145.5
Moneyline+414away / −414homeaway / home
Line movementBYU win chance, 42 stored lines
+16 pts for BYU since Oct 29
88%60%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: BYU 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: BYU 82%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: BYU 82%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: BYU 82%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: BYU 79%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: BYU 79%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: BYU 79%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: BYU 79%Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET: BYU 79%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: BYU 79%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: BYU 79%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: BYU 79%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: BYU 79%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: BYU 79%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: BYU 79%Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET: BYU 79%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: BYU 79%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: BYU 79%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: BYU 79%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: BYU 79%Nov 2, 10:46 PM ET: BYU 79%Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET: BYU 79%Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET: BYU 79%Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET: BYU 79%Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET: BYU 79%Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET: BYU 80%Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET: BYU 81%Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET: BYU 81%Nov 3, 12:24 AM ET: BYU 81%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: BYU 81%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: BYU 81%Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET: BYU 81%Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET: BYU 81%Nov 3, 9:48 PM ET: BYU 81%Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET: BYU 81%Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET: BYU 81%Nov 4, 12:25 AM ET: BYU 81%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: BYU 81%Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET: BYU 81%Nov 4, 9:40 PM ET: BYU 81%Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET: BYU 81%Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET: BYU 81%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredBYU winMove
Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET81%0
Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET81%0
Nov 4, 9:40 PM ET81%0
Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET81%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET81%0
Nov 4, 12:25 AM ET81%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET81%0
Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET81%0
Nov 3, 9:48 PM ET81%0
Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET81%0
Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET81%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET81%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET81%0
Nov 3, 12:24 AM ET81%0
Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET81%0
Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET81%+1
Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET80%+1
Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 10:46 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET79%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET79%−3
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET82%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET82%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET82%+17
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
BYU 1611 · OMA 1481
Home spread
−10.5
Stored
Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET · 2026-11-05 05:11 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

MavericksCougars
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Cougars–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Omaha Mavericks vs BYU Cougars prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Cougars a 10.5-point favorite at home, with a 81% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Cougars 1611 (41st of 361), Mavericks 1481 (209th). The Cougars are 1-0; the Mavericks are 1-0. The Cougars have won 3 of their last 5; the Mavericks 2 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Omaha Mavericks

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at North Dakota State BisonL 50–74––matchup
at South Dakota CoyotesW 76–62––matchup
at St. Thomas TommiesL 53–68––matchup
at South Dakota CoyotesL 72–89––matchup
vs Oral Roberts Golden EaglesW 80–71––matchup

BYU Cougars

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Ohio State BuckeyesW 94–83––matchup
vs Texas LonghornsL 71–79––matchup
at Houston CougarsL 66–73––matchup
at West Virginia MountaineersW 68–48––matchup
vs Kansas State WildcatsW 105–91––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Omaha Mavericks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

BYU Cougars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Mavericks1-0 2nd · W1
  • Mavericks rating1481 209th of 361, 0 games
  • Cougars1-0 2nd · W1
  • Cougars rating1611 41st of 361, 1 games

Omaha Mavericks 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $OMAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $OMAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $OMAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $OMAMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Omaha Mavericks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Mavericks roster, schedule and more

BYU Cougars 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BYUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $BYUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $BYUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $BYUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the BYU Cougars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Cougars roster, schedule and more

Takes on Omaha Mavericks at BYU Cougars

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