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Axle 2.078% straight up465 games
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Finneran Pavilion · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

La Salle Explorers vs Villanova Wildcats prediction, odds and picks, November 10, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

La Salle Explorers or Villanova Wildcats: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 16–84Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: VILL 84%
Record 0-0
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Record 0-1
Game clock
KickoffTuesday, November 10 at 7:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
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La Salle Explorers at Villanova Wildcats win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

La Salle Explorers vs Villanova Wildcats live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

La Salle Explorers vs Villanova Wildcats team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatLASVILL
ScoreLAS–VILL–
Average win probabilityLAS–VILL–
Longest scoring runLAS–VILL–
Time leadingLAS–VILL–

La Salle Explorers vs Villanova Wildcats odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 10 h ago
Explorers16%
Win chance
Wildcats84%
SpreadVILL −12.5
Total146
Moneyline+542away / −542homeaway / home
Line movementVILL win chance, 47 stored lines
+19 pts for VILL since Oct 29
94%60%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: VILL 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: VILL 89%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: VILL 89%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: VILL 89%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: VILL 84%Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET: VILL 83%Nov 1, 7:01 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: VILL 84%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 3, 12:15 AM ET: VILL 84%Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET: VILL 84%Nov 3, 12:24 AM ET: VILL 84%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: VILL 84%Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET: VILL 84%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: VILL 84%Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET: VILL 84%Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET: VILL 84%Nov 4, 12:20 AM ET: VILL 84%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: VILL 84%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: VILL 84%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredVILL winMove
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET84%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET84%0
Nov 4, 12:20 AM ET84%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET84%0
Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET84%0
Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET84%0
Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET84%0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET84%0
Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET84%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET84%0
Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET84%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET84%0
Nov 3, 12:24 AM ET84%0
Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET84%0
Nov 3, 12:15 AM ET84%0
Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET84%0
Nov 1, 7:01 PM ET84%+1
Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET83%−1
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET84%−5
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET89%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET89%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET89%+24
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
VILL 1588 · LAS 1411
Home spread
−12.5
Stored
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

ExplorersWildcats
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Wildcats–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

La Salle Explorers vs Villanova Wildcats prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Wildcats a 12.5-point favorite at home, with a 84% chance to win. The model total is 146. Ratings: Wildcats 1588 (57th of 361), Explorers 1411 (306th). The Wildcats are 0-1; the Explorers are 0-0. The Wildcats have won 2 of their last 5; the Explorers 1 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Wildcats won 2, the Explorers 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

La Salle Explorers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Houston CougarsL 55–94––matchup
vs St. Bonaventure BonniesL 80–99––matchup
at Saint Joseph's HawksL 76–88––matchup
vs Fordham RamsW 87–84––matchup
at Davidson WildcatsL 64–71––matchup

Villanova Wildcats

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Notre Dame Fighting IrishL 72–74––matchup
vs Utah State AggiesL 76–86––matchup
vs Georgetown HoyasL 64–78––matchup
vs Xavier MusketeersW 91–78––matchup
at DePaul Blue DemonsW 76–57––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Villanova Wildcats at La Salle Explorers70–55––matchup
La Salle Explorers at Villanova Wildcats68–81––matchup

Injuries

La Salle Explorers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Villanova Wildcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Explorers0-0 7th · -
  • Explorers rating1411 306th of 361, 1 games
  • Wildcats0-1 11th · L1
  • Wildcats rating1588 57th of 361, 1 games

La Salle Explorers 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $LASMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $LASMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $LASMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $LASMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the La Salle Explorers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Explorers roster, schedule and more

Villanova Wildcats 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 11th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $VILLMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $VILLMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $VILLMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $VILLMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Villanova Wildcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Wildcats roster, schedule and more

Takes on La Salle Explorers at Villanova Wildcats

Sign in to post a take on $LASMBBVILLMBB261111: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

Model: Villanova 84% to win. Projected score Villanova 79, La Salle 67; spread Villanova −12.5, total 146. La Salle Explorers at Villanova Wildcats, Tue, Nov 10, 7:00 PM ET.