Kansas State Wildcats open at home against South Dakota State Jackrabbits with the score still 0-0 at 19:40 of the first period. Our model gives Kansas State a 64% chance, and no crowd picks are in yet to compare.
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Bramlage Coliseum · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs Kansas State Wildcats: final score and how the prediction did, November 3, 2026
- Final scoreSouth Dakota State 68, Kansas State 66 the projected winner lost
- Pregame Projected winnerKansas State 64%
- Pregame Projected scoreKansas State 75, South Dakota State 70
- Model spreadKansas State −5 total 145.5
- Margin2 projected 5.1
- Total134 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
South Dakota State Jackrabbits or Kansas State Wildcats: the bandwagon
Axle 36–64Market –
FinalPregame: KSU 64%Baseline: KSU 54.3% (−9.8)Big swing: 41.9 ptsClutch window: 15:15
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDST | 35 | 33 | 68 |
| KSU | 28 | 38 | 66 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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South Dakota State Jackrabbits at Kansas State Wildcats win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to SDST−25.7 points for KSU over the last 5:00
Big swing41.9 ptstoward SDST at 20:00 of game time
Clutch window15:15within 5 points in the final half
BaselineKSU 54.3%game average, −9.8 points from the pregame 64.1%
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs Kansas State Wildcats live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | SDST | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | SDST25/57 | KSU22/53 |
| 3-pointers | SDST10/24 | KSU8/28 |
| Free throws | SDST8/13 | KSU14/18 |
| Rebounds | SDST27 | KSU34 |
| Assists | SDST12 | KSU12 |
| Turnovers | SDST10 | KSU12 |
| Steals | SDST8 | KSU6 |
| Blocks | SDST0 | KSU3 |
| Points in the paint | SDST26 | KSU22 |
| Fast-break points | SDST6 | KSU10 |
| Fouls | SDST16 | KSU13 |
| Largest lead | SDST11 | KSU7 |
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs Kansas State Wildcats team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | SDST | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | SDST68 | KSU66 |
| Average win probability | SDST46% | KSU54% |
| Longest scoring run | SDST+8 | KSU+6 |
| Time leading | SDST10:10 | KSU26:13 |
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs Kansas State Wildcats odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 20 h ago
Jackrabbits36%
Win chanceWildcats64%
SpreadKSU −5closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+179away / −179homeaway / home
Line movementKSU win chance, 20 stored lines
−1 pts for KSU between Oct 29 and Nov 3
71%59%
Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3
Every stored line
| Stored | KSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 64% | −1 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- KSU 1464 · SDST 1474
- Home spread
- −5
- Stored
- Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET · 2026-11-04 02:08 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: South Dakota State Jackrabbits 68, Kansas State Wildcats 66. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
JackrabbitsWildcats
Neutrals only–
JackrabbitsWildcats
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Wildcats–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs Kansas State Wildcats prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Wildcats a 5-point favorite at home, with a 64% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Wildcats 1457 (245th of 361), Jackrabbits 1481 (207th). The Wildcats are 0-0; the Jackrabbits are 0-0. The Wildcats have won 1 of their last 5; the Jackrabbits 3 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Wildcats won 1, the Jackrabbits 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
South Dakota State Jackrabbits
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Kansas State Wildcats | W 68–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| at St. Thomas Tommies | L 67–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Dakota Coyotes | L 70–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kansas City Roos | W 73–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks | W 91–83 | – | – | matchup |
Kansas State Wildcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits | L 66–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at BYU Cougars | L 91–105 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kansas Jayhawks | L 85–104 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs West Virginia Mountaineers | W 65–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs TCU Horned Frogs | L 68–77 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Dakota State Jackrabbits at Kansas State Wildcats | 68–91 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
South Dakota State Jackrabbits: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Kansas State Wildcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Jackrabbits0-0 7th · -
- Jackrabbits rating1481 207th of 361, 1 games
- Wildcats0-0 10th · -
- Wildcats rating1457 245th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak -
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SDSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SDSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SDSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $SDSTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Dakota State Jackrabbits bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 10th · streak -
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $KSUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $KSUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $KSUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $KSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Kansas State Wildcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on South Dakota State Jackrabbits at Kansas State Wildcats
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Final: South Dakota State 68, Kansas State 66. Bandwagon's model had the Kansas State at 64% and projected Kansas State 75, South Dakota State 70; spread Kansas State −5, total 145.5.