Arkansas Razorbacks open at home against Arkansas-Pine Bluff with the score tied 0-0 in the first period. The house model gives the Razorbacks a 90% chance, and no crowd picks are in yet.
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Bud Walton Arena · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs Arkansas Razorbacks: final score and how the prediction did, November 3, 2026
- Final scoreArkansas-Pine Bluff 61, Arkansas 106 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerArkansas 90%
- Pregame Projected scoreArkansas 80, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 65
- Model spreadArkansas −15.5 total 145.5
- Margin45 projected 15.3
- Total167 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions or Arkansas Razorbacks: the bandwagon
Axle 10–90Market –
FinalPregame: ARK 90%Baseline: ARK 97.2% (+7.6)Big swing: 9.1 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| UAPB | 28 | 33 | 61 |
| ARK | 47 | 59 | 106 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions at Arkansas Razorbacks win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for ARK over the last 5:00
Big swing9.1 ptstoward ARK at 20:00 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final half
BaselineARK 97.2%game average, +7.6 points from the pregame 89.6%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs Arkansas Razorbacks live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | UAPB | ARK |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | UAPB21/54 | ARK35/64 |
| 3-pointers | UAPB6/21 | ARK6/18 |
| Free throws | UAPB13/19 | ARK30/42 |
| Rebounds | UAPB27 | ARK43 |
| Assists | UAPB10 | ARK19 |
| Turnovers | UAPB24 | ARK11 |
| Steals | UAPB6 | ARK16 |
| Blocks | UAPB1 | ARK7 |
| Points in the paint | UAPB30 | ARK54 |
| Fast-break points | UAPB6 | ARK45 |
| Fouls | UAPB28 | ARK17 |
| Largest lead | UAPB2 | ARK45 |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs Arkansas Razorbacks team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | UAPB | ARK |
|---|---|---|
| Score | UAPB61 | ARK106 |
| Average win probability | UAPB3% | ARK97% |
| Longest scoring run | UAPB+5 | ARK+14 |
| Time leading | UAPB0:00 | ARK38:54 |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs Arkansas Razorbacks odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 17 h ago
Golden Lions10%
Win chanceRazorbacks90%
SpreadARK −15.5closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+861away / −861homeaway / home
Line movementARK win chance, 42 stored lines
+25 pts for ARK between Oct 29 and Nov 3
99%60%
Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3
Every stored line
| Stored | ARK win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:48 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:24 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 90% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 89% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 93% | +28 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- ARK 1662 · UAPB 1409
- Home spread
- −15.5
- Stored
- Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET · 2026-11-04 03:13 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions 61, Arkansas Razorbacks 106. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
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Golden LionsRazorbacks
Neutrals only–
Golden LionsRazorbacks
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Razorbacks–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs Arkansas Razorbacks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Razorbacks a 15.5-point favorite at home, with a 90% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Razorbacks 1669 (14th of 361), Golden Lions 1402 (320th). The Razorbacks are 0-0; the Golden Lions are 0-0. The Razorbacks have won 4 of their last 5; the Golden Lions 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Arkansas Razorbacks | L 61–106 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Southern Jaguars | L 81–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Alcorn State Braves | W 83–48 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Jackson State Tigers | L 78–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | L 69–70 | – | – | matchup |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | W 106–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arizona Wildcats | L 88–109 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs High Point Panthers | W 94–88 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | W 97–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Vanderbilt Commodores | W 86–75 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Arkansas Razorbacks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Golden Lions0-0 5th · -
- Golden Lions rating1402 320th of 361, 1 games
- Razorbacks0-0 2nd · -
- Razorbacks rating1669 14th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak -
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UAPBMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UAPBMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UAPBMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $UAPBMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak -
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ARKMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ARKMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ARKMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $ARKMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Arkansas Razorbacks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions at Arkansas Razorbacks
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Final: Arkansas-Pine Bluff 61, Arkansas 106. Bandwagon's model had the Arkansas at 90% and projected Arkansas 80, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 65; spread Arkansas −15.5, total 145.5.